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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
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2001 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 838.
Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers

Schedule and 2001 Results
Regular Season Records: Toronto 47-35, Philadelphia 56-26
Game 1 on Sunday, 06 May: Toronto wins at Philadelphia, 96-pts-93
Game 2 on Wednesday, 09 May: Toronto loses at Philadelphia, 97-pts-92
Game 3 on Friday, 11 May: Philadelphia loses at Toronto, 102-pts-78
Game 4 on Sunday, 13 May: Philadelphia wins at Toronto, 84-pts-79
Game 5 on Wednesday, 16 May: Toronto loses at Philadelphia, 121-pts-88
Game 6 on Friday, 18 May: Philadelphia loses at Toronto, 101-pts-89
Game 7 on Sunday, 20 May: Toronto loses at Philadelphia, 88-pts-87

OVERALL SUBSTANCE: Philadelphia defeats Toronto, LWLWWLW:
The LWLWWLW series win by Philadelphia over Toronto is the 2nd in NBA Qtrs-round best-of-7 series, the 6th in NBA best-of-7 series (all rounds), and the 14th in NHL, NBA, or MLB best-of-7 series.

SERIES NOTES: Game 7: Philadelphia defeats Toronto, 88-pts-87, to secure a 4-games-3 win of series 838; series 838 is the eighth NBA best-of-7 series to be decided by one point in Game 7 -- the last time it happened was in series 814, when New York defeated Miami 83-pts-82 to win Game 7 of their 2000 NBA Qtrs series; Philadelphia improves its best-of-7 Qtrs Game 7 record to 3-3 (3-0 at home), while Toronto loses its first-ever Game 7; Philadelphia improves its best-of-7 Qtrs series record to 9-9 (8-1 when Game 1 is at home) . . . Game 6: Toronto hosts and defeats Philadelphia, 101-pts-89, to tie series 838 at 3-games-all; the only role model for a Toronto series win at this point (WLWLLWW @ VVHHVHV) is series 710, in which the Florida NHL Panthers defeated the Penguins in Pittsburgh in Game 7 of their 1996 NHL Semis series; Philadelphia sees its best-of-7 Qtrs Game 6 record fall to 5-4 (2-3 on the road) . . . Game 5: Philadelphia hosts Toronto, defeating the Raptors 121-pts-88; the 33-point margin of victory ties series 838 Game 5 for the third largest margin of victory in a best-of-7 NBA Qtrs Game 5 (with series 466 Game 5, in which Boston defeated Atlanta 132-pts-99 in 1986) -- the largest margin of victory in a best-of-7 NBA Qtrs Game 5 was fifty points (set in series 241 Game 5 by Milwaukee, which defeated the San Francisco Warriors 136-pts-86 in their 1971 NBA Qtrs series); Philadelphia improves its best-of-7 Qtrs Game 5 record to 8-6 (5-2 at home) . . . Game 4: Philadelphia visits and defeats Toronto 84-pts-79 to tie series 838 at 2-games-all; the Game 4 victory by Philadelphia is the first in six tries by the 76ers upon trailing a best-of-7 Qtrs-round series 2-games-1 . . . Game 3: Toronto hosts and defeats Philadelphia 102-pts-78 to take a 2-games-1 lead in series 838; the 24-point margin of victory in Game 3 is the eighth largest in best-of-7 NBA Qtrs Game 3 play; in best-of-7 NBA series from 1947 through 2000 (all rounds, irrespective of site), teams that win Game 3 by 24 or more points to take a 2-game-1 series lead have a series record of 7-3 . . . Game 2: Philadelphia hosts and defeats Toronto 97-pts-92 to even series 838 at 1-game-all; the win improves the 76ers' best-of-7 Qtrs-round Game 2 franchise record to 8-10 (6-2 at home); in the 274 best-of-7 NBA playoff rounds from 1947 through 2000, when a team wins Game 1 by 3 points and loses Game 2 by 5 points, its series record is 0-2 (i.e., Toronto is following the path set by the Seattle Supersonics in series 317 [a 1976 Qtrs round vs. Phoenix] and by the Utah Jazz in series 769 [the 1998 Finals round vs. Chicago]) . . . Game 1: Toronto defeats the 76ers 96-pts-93 in Philadelphia to post a 1-game-nil lead in series 838; Philadelphia's best-of-7 Qtrs Game 1 record falls to 9-9 (6-3 at home), while Toronto's best-of-7 Qtrs Game 1 record becomes 1-0 (1-0 at home); for the moment at least, the Toronto NBA Raptors have the top franchise win-loss percentage (1-0, 1.000) in all best-of-7 play, ahead of the Colorado NHL Avalanche (58-33, .637) and the New York MLB Yankees (138-81, .630) . . . Pre-series: Philadelphia finished nine regular season games ahead of Toronto -- in best-of-7 NBA playoff history from 1947 through 2000, the team with the 9-game regular season advantage vs. a playoff opponent had a 11-1 (.917) series record vs. that opponent; series 838 is the first for the Philadelphia 76ers since the 2000 NBA Qtrs when they lost to Indiana, and is the first ever for the Toronto Raptors.