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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Irrespective of Game 1 site
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Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
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Game 1 played at home
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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2007 NHL Preliminary round - Series 994.
Calgary Flames vs Detroit Red Wings

Schedule and 2007 Results
Regular Season Records: Detroit 50-19-13=113pts, Calgary 43-29-10=96pts
Game 1 on Thursday, 12 April: Calgary loses at Detroit, 4-goals-1
Game 2 on Sunday, 15 April: Calgary loses at Detroit, 3-goals-1
Game 3 on Tuesday, 17 April: Detroit loses at Calgary, 3-goals-2
Game 4 on Thursday, 19 April: Detroit loses at Calgary, 3-goals-2
Game 5 on Saturday, 21 April: Calgary loses at Detroit, 5-goals-1
Game 6 on Sunday, 22 April: Detroit wins at Calgary, 2-goals-1 (2OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Detroit Red Wings visited and defeated the Calgary Flames 2-goals-1 in double-overtime to win best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 994, 4-games-2. With the series 994 victory, the Detroit Red Wings improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 44-36 overall and 12-7 in the Preliminary round (those 12 wins and 19 appearances are best-of-7 NHL/NBA Preliminary-round highs). With the series 994 loss, the Calgary Flames see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 11-15 overall and 3-9 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Detroit Red Wings was WWLLWW in series 994: Among best-of-7 format playoff series, then, series 994 becomes the eleventh NHL Preliminary-round series, the 31st NHL series (all rounds), and the 59th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow this win order.

After Game 5: With best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 994 back in Detroit for Game 5, the host Red Wings defeated the Calgary Flames 5-goals-1 to take a 3-games-2 series 994 lead. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Detroit Red Wings have a series record of 17-4 (with an active eight-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 13-8 (with an eight-Game 6 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 0-6 and a Game 6 record of 2-4.

After Game 4: The Calgary Flames hosted and defeated the Detroit Red Wings 3-goals-2 to even best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 994 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Detroit Red Wings have a series record of 16-12 and a Game 5 record of 13-15, while the Calgary Flames have a series record of 7-4 and a Game 5 record of 10-1 (with an active Game 5 winning streak of six). In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2006, teams that lose Games 1-2 but then win each of Games 3 and 4 by one goal apiece (such as Calgary) have a series record of 9-8 and a Game 5 record of 9-8 as well.

After Game 3: With Games 3-4 of best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 994 in Alberta, the Calgary Flames hosted and defeated the Detroit Red Wings 3-goals-2, thus narrowing the Wings' series lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Detroit Red Wings have a series record of 20-8 with a four-series winning streak, and a Game 4 record of 12-16. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 2-7 and a Game 4 record of 3-6. The two Calgary series victories under these circumstances occurred in series 540 (in which the Flames won the Stanley Cup, defeating the Montreal Canadiens in the 1989 NHL Finals) and in series 912 (in which Calgary defeated Vancouver in their 2004 NHL Preliminary round en route to a berth in the 2004 NHL Finals).

After Game 2: The Detroit Red Wings once again hosted and defeated the Calgary Flames, this time by a score of 3-goals-1, thereby taking a 2-games-nil lead in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 994. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Detroit Red Wings have a series record of 21-6 and a Game 3 record of 15-12 with a three-Game 3 losing streak. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 0-5 and a Game 3 record of 2-3. With their series 994 Game 2 win, the Detroit Red Wings improve their best-of-7 NHL Preliminary-round Game 2 record on home ice to 12-6; those 12 wins, six losses, and 18 games are an NBA/NHL high in best-of-7 format Preliminary-round Game 2 playoff action on home ice, while the .667 winning percentage in that situation ties that of ... the Calgary Flames (six wins, three losses in best-of-7 format Preliminary-round Game 2 playoff action on home ice).

After Game 1: The Detroit Red Wings hosted and defeated the Calgary Flames 4-goals-1 to take a 1-game-nil lead in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 994. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Detroit Red Wings have a series record of 29-12 and a Game 2 record of 27-14. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 4-11 and a Game 2 record of 10-5. With their series 994 Game 1 win, the Detroit Red Wings improve their best-of-7 NHL Preliminary-round Game 1 home-ice record to 12-6; those 12 wins and 18 games are an NBA/NHL high in best-of-7 format Preliminary-round Game 1 playoff action on home ice.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2006-07 regular season, Detroit finished 17 points ahead of Calgary. From 1905 through the 2006 MLB Finals, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 17 regular-season points, they have posted a 10-2 (.833) best-of-7 series record in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 994 is the 26th best-of-7 playoff series for Calgary, and the 80th for Detroit. In best-of-7 playoff series, Calgary has an 11-14 series record, a 3-8 Prelim-round series record, and a 10-15 Game 1 record, while Detroit has a 43-36 series record, an 11-7 Prelim-round record, and a 41-38 Game 1 record. Series 994 is the second best-of-7 meeting between Calgary and Detroit; Calgary won best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 916 over Detroit in the 2004 NHL Quarterfinals.