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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2011 NBA Semifinals round - Series 1149.
Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Schedule and 2010-11 Results
Regular Season Records: Chicago 62-20, Miami 58-24
Game 1 on Sunday, 15 May: Miami loses at Chicago, 103-pts-82
Game 2 on Wednesday, 18 May: Miami wins at Chicago, 85-pts-75
Game 3 on Sunday, 22 May: Chicago loses at Miami, 96-pts-85
Game 4 on Tuesday, 24 May: Chicago loses at Miami, 101-pts-93 (OT)
Game 5 on Thursday, 26 May: Miami wins at Chicago, 83-pts-80

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Chicago Bulls 83-pts-80 to win MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1149, 4-games-1. Chicago led the game 77-pts-65 with as little as 3:04 left in the fourth quarter; Miami then outscored Chicago 18-pts-3 during the rest of the game. With the series 1149 victory, the Miami Heat improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 11-7 overall and 2-2 in the Semifinals. With the series 1149 loss, the Chicago Bulls see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 25-19 overall and 6-5 in the Semifinals (the series 1149 loss ends a six-series Semifinals-round winning streak by Chicago). The win order by the victorious Miami Heat in series 1149 was LWWWW: Series 1149 thus becomes the third NBA Semifinals series, the 15th NBA series (all rounds), and the 50th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow this win order to completion. Miami advances to meet the Dallas Mavericks in series 1151, the 2011 NBA Finals.

After Game 4: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the Chicago Bulls 101-pts-93 in overtime to take a 3-games-1 lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1149. When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1, the Miami Heat have a 4-0 overall series record, a 1-0 Semifinals series record, a 3-1 overall Game 5 record, and a 0-1 Semifinals Game 5 record. When trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1, the Chicago Bulls have a 0-5 overall series record, a 0-0 Semifinals series record, a 1-4 overall Game 5 record, and a 0-0 Semifinals Game 5 record.

After Game 3: After a three-day hiatus and with MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1149 having shifted to south Florida for Games 3-4, the Miami Heat hosted and defeated the Chicago Bulls 96-pts-85 to take a 2-games-1 series 1149 lead. When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-1, the Miami Heat have a 5-3 overall series record, a 1-1 Semifinals series record, a 3-5 overall Game 4 record, and a 1-1 Semifinals Game 4 record. When trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-1, the Chicago Bulls have a 1-10 overall series record with an active five-series losing streak, a 1-1 Semifinals series record, an 8-3 overall Game 4 record, and a 2-0 Semifinals Game 4 record.

After Game 2: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Chicago Bulls 85-pts-75 to tie MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1149 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Chicago Bulls have an 11-5 overall series record, a 1-2 Semifinals series record, a 13-3 overall Game 3 record, and a 3-0 Semifinals Game 3 record, while the Miami Heat have a 3-3 overall series record, a 1-1 Semifinals series record, a 5-1 overall Game 3 record, and a 2-0 Semifinals Game 3 record. Miami trailed Chicago by seven points in Chicago after the first quarter of series 1149 Game 2: In best-of-7 NBA playoff series history, teams such as Miami which trailed by seven points on the road after the first quarter had a 26-74 (.260) game record.

After Game 1: The Chicago Bulls hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 103-pts-82 to take a 1-game-nil lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1149. When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil, the Chicago Bulls have a 19-3 series record overall, a 5-1 Semifinals-round series record with an active five-series winning streak, a 14-8 Game 2 record overall, and a 4-2 Game 2 record in the Semifinals. When trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a 3-6 overall series record with an active three-series losing streak, a 0-2 Semifinals-round series record, a 4-5 overall Game 2 record, and a 1-1 Semifinals-round Game 2 record. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series, teams such as the Chicago Bulls which win Game 1 at home by 20+ points had a 48-9 (.842) series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2010-11 regular season, Chicago finished four games ahead of Miami. From 1947 through the 2011 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season games, they have posted a 22-7 (.759) best-of-7 series record in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1149 is the 18th best-of-7 playoff series for Miami, and the 44th for Chicago. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, Miami has a 10-7 series record, a 1-2 Semifinals-round series record, and an 8-9 Game 1 record, while Chicago has a 25-18 series record, a 6-4 Semifinals-round record with an active six-series winning streak, and a 22-21 Game 1 record. Series 1149 is the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between Miami and Chicago: Of the previous three series, Chicago won series 742 (in the 1997 NBA Semifinals, en route to the 1997 NBA championship) and series 1008 (in the 2007 NBA Preliminary round, dethroning the 2006 NBA champion Miami Heat), while Miami won series 973 (in the 2006 NBA Preliminary round, en route to the 2006 NBA championship).