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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2012 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1171.
New York Knickerbockers vs Miami Heat

Schedule and 2011-12 Results
Regular Season Records: Miami 46-20, New York 36-30
Game 1 on Saturday, 28 April: New York loses at Miami, 100-pts-67
Game 2 on Monday, 30 April: New York loses at Miami, 104-pts-94
Game 3 on Thursday, 03 May: Miami wins at New York, 87-pts-70
Game 4 on Sunday, 06 May: Miami loses at New York, 89-pts-87
Game 5 on Wednesday, 09 May: New York loses at Miami, 106-pts-94

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 106-pts-94 to post a 4-games-1 victory in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1171. With the series 1171 win, the Miami Heat improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 12-8 overall and 5-3 in the NBA Preliminary round. With the series 1171 loss, the New York Knickerbockers see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 17-25 overall (with an active four-series losing streak) and 0-3 in the NBA Preliminary round. In series 1171, the victorious Miami Heat posted a win order of WWWLW: Series 1171 thus becomes the sixth NBA Preliminary-round series, the 31st NBA series (all rounds), and the 79th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow this win order to completion.

After Game 4: The New York Knickerbockers ended a 13-game losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff games by hosting and defeating the Miami Heat 89-pts-87, thereby reducing the Miami MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1171 lead to 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1, the Miami Heat have a 5-0 series record and a 4-1 Game 5 record. When trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1, the New York Knickerbockers have a 0-11 series record and a 4-7 Game 5 record.

After Game 3: With MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1171 in Manhattan for Games 3-4, the visiting Miami Heat defeated the New York Knickerbockers 87-pts-70 to take a 3-games-nil series 1171 lead. The New York Knickerbockers thus become the 300th MLB/NBA/NHL team to attempt to win a best-of-7 playoff series after having trailed 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-nil, the Miami Heat have a 3-0 series record and a 2-1 Game 4 record, while the New York Knickerbockers have a 0-5 series record and a 1-4 Game 4 record with a four-Game 4 losing streak. The New York Knickerbockers now have a best-of-7 NBA playoff game losing streak of 13 games (series 817 Games 5-6 in the 2000 NBA Semifinals; series 922 Games 1-4 in the 2004 NBA Preliminary round; series 1139 Games 1-4 in the 2011 NBA Preliminary round; series 1171 Games 1-3 in the 2012 NBA Preliminary round). This 13-game losing streak is now the longest in best-of-7 NBA playoff game history, breaking the old mark of 12 games set by the New York Knickerbockers (series 288 Games 4-5 in the 1974 NBA Semifinals; series 344 Games 1-4 in the 1978 NBA Quarterfinals; series 419 Games 1-4 in the 1983 NBA Quarterfinals; series 434 Games 1-2 in the 1984 NBA Quarterfinals) and tied by the Memphis Grizzlies (series 927 Games 1-4 in the 2004 NBA Preliminary round; series 943 Games 1-4 in the 2005 NBA Preliminary round; series 979 Games 1-4 in the 2006 NBA Preliminary round).

After Game 2: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 104-pts-94 to take a 2-games-nil lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1171. When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-nil, the Miami Heat have a 6-0 series record and a 3-3 Game 3 record. When trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-nil, the New York Knickerbockers have a 0-13 series record and an 8-5 Game 3 record.

After Game 1: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 100-pts-67 to take a 1-game-nil lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1171. The 33-point victory by Miami was the second-largest best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round Game 1 margin of victory, next only to series 976 Game 1 in which the San Antonio Spurs hosted and defeated the Sacramento Kings 122-pts-88 (34 points) in 2006. When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a 7-2 series record and a 6-3 Game 2 record. When trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil, the New York Knickerbockers have a 4-18 series record and a 9-13 Game 2 record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2011-12 NBA regular season, Miami finished ten games ahead of New York. From 1947 through the 2011 NBA Finals round, inclusive, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by ten regular-season games, they have posted a 16-3 (.842) best-of-7 series record (with an active five-series winning streak) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1171 is the 42nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for New York, and the 20th for Miami. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, New York has a 17-24 series record, a 0-2 Preliminary-round series record (swept twice), and a 19-22 Game 1 record (with an active five-series losing streak), while Miami has an 11-8 series record, a 4-3 Preliminary-round record, and a 9-10 Game 1 record. Series 1171 is the third best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the New York Knickerbockers and the Miami Heat: Miami won series 739 (1997 NBA Quarterfinals); New York won series 814 (2000 NBA Quarterfinals); the teams are thus tied 1-1.