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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
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2015 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1259.
Chicago Blackhawks vs Nashville Predators

Schedule and 2014-15 Results
Regular Season Records: Nashville 47-25-10=104pts, Chicago 48-28-6=102pts
Game 1 on Wednesday, 15 April: Chicago wins at Nashville, 4-goals-3 (2OT)
Game 2 on Friday, 17 April: Chicago loses at Nashville, 6-goals-2
Game 3 on Sunday, 19 April: Nashville loses at Chicago, 4-goals-2
Game 4 on Tuesday, 21 April: Nashville loses at Chicago, 3-goals-2 (3OT)
Game 5 on Thursday, 23 April: Chicago loses at Nashville, 5-goals-2
Game 6 on Saturday, 25 April: Nashville loses at Chicago, 4-goals-3

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and defeated the Nashville Predators 4-goals-3 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1259 victory. With the series 1259 win, the Chicago Blackhawks improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 39-41 overall and 10-9 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1259 loss, the Nashville Predators see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 2-8 overall and 2-6 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Chicago Blackhawks in series 1259 was WLWWLW: Series 1259 thus becomes the ninth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 19th NHL series (all rounds), and the 45th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Chicago trailed the visiting Nashville Predators by two goals as late as 12:13 into the first period. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2014, inclusive, home teams down two goals as late as 12:13 into the first period had a game record of 26-119 (.179). Leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Chicago Blackhawks now have an overall series record of 21-3 (with an active 16-series winning streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 8-0, and a Game 6 record of 17-7 (with an active nine-Game 6 winning streak).

After Game 5: The Nashville Predators hosted and topped the Chicago Blackhawks 5-goals-2 to drop the Chicago Blackhawks best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1258 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 20-3 (with an active 15-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 16-7 (with an active eight-Game 6 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 6 record of 0-4.

After Game 4: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and bested the Nashville Predators 3-goals-2 in the third overtime period to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1259 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 12-0 and a Game 5 record of 8-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 5 record of 1-3. In the history of best-of-7 format NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2014, inclusive, home teams the second before reaching the first minute of the third overtime period had a game record of only 13-25 (.342).

After Game 3: The Chicago Blackhawks hosted and doubled up the Nashville Predators 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1259 lead of 2-games-1.

After Game 2: The Nashville Predators hosted and topped the Chicago Blackhawks 6-goals-2 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1259 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 3 record of 3-3, while the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 17-12 and a Game 3 record of 15-14 (with an active four-Game 3 losing streak).

After Game 1: The Chicago Blackhawks visited and topped the Nashville Predators 4-goals-3 in the 2nd overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1259 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Chicago Blackhawks have a series record of 23-9 and a Game 2 record of 18-14. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 0-5 and a Game 2 record of 2-3. Chicago trailed on the road by three goals as late as 1:42 into the second period: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2014, inclusive, road teams down three goals 1:42 into the second period had a game record of 1-112 (.009). The sole winner in that context: The Philadelphia Flyers, which trailed the Penguins in Pittsburgh 3-goals-nil but rallied for a 4-goals-3 victory in overtime of Game 1 of their 2012 NHL Preliminary round series (series 1158). Trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Nashville Predators have a 0-5 series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2014-15 NHL regular season, the Nashville Predators finished two points ahead of the Chicago Blackhawks. From 1939 through the 2014 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by two regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 16-14 (.533) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1259 is the tenth best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Nashville Predators, and the 80th for the Chicago Blackhawks. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Nashville Predators have an all-rounds series record of 2-7, a Preliminary-round series record of 2-5, and a Game 1 record of 4-5, while the Chicago Blackhawks have an all-rounds series record of 38-41, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-9, and a Game 1 record of 32-47. Series 1259 is the second best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Nashville Predators and the Chicago Blackhawks. Chicago defeated Nashville in six games, in series 1094 in the 2010 NHL Preliminary round.