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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2016 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1305.
Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Schedule and 2015-16 Results
Regular Season Records: Atlanta 48-34, Boston 48-34
Game 1 on Saturday, 16 April: Boston loses at Atlanta, 102-pts-101
Game 2 on Tuesday, 19 April: Boston loses at Atlanta, 89-pts-72
Game 3 on Friday, 22 April: Atlanta loses at Boston, 111-pts-103
Game 4 on Sunday, 24 April: Atlanta loses at Boston, 104-pts-95(OT)
Game 5 on Tuesday, 26 April: Boston loses at Atlanta, 110-pts-83
Game 6 on Thursday, 28 April: Atlanta wins at Boston, 104-pts-92

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Atlanta Hawks visited and topped the Boston Celtics 104-pts-92 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1305 victory. With the series 1305 win, the Atlanta Hawks improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 8-22 overall and 5-4 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1305 loss, the Boston Celtics see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 62-25 (with an active four-series losing streak) overall and 6-5 (with an active three-series losing streak) in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Atlanta Hawks in series 1305 was WWLLWW: Series 1305 thus becomes the seventh NBA Preliminary-round series, the 31st NBA series (all rounds), and the 73rd MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Only seven NBA teams have posted a WWLLWW win order in the NBA Preliminary round - the only team to do so twice is the Atlanta Hawks, in series 1269 (in the 2015 NBA Preliminary round) and now in series 1305.

After Game 5: The Atlanta Hawks hosted and bested the Boston Celtics 110-pts-83 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1305 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 5-2 and a Game 6 record of 4-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 5-13 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 6 record of 10-8. The 42-point third quarter by the Atlanta Hawks is the highest-scoring third quarter in best-of-7 format NBA Preliminary-round playoff game history, breaking the old record of 41 points set by the Atlanta Hawks themselves in series 1269 (Game 6 of the 2015 NBA Preliminary round in Brooklyn against the Nets) and tied by the Golden State Warriors in series 1306 (Game 4 of the 2016 NBA Preliminary round in Houston against the Rockets).

After Game 4: The Boston Celtics hosted and defeated the Atlanta Hawks 104-pts-95 in overtime to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1305 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 5-7 and a Game 5 record of 6-6 with an active three-Game 5 winning streak, while the Boston Celtics have a series record of 29-11 and a Game 5 record of 29-11.

After Game 3: The Boston Celtics hosted and outscored the Atlanta Hawks 111-pts-103 to drop the Atlanta Hawks best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1305 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 4-1 and a Game 4 record of 1-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 9-15 (with an active three-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 15-9.

After Game 2: The Atlanta Hawks hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 89-pts-72 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1305 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 4-0 and a Game 3 record of 1-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 1-11 (with an active ten-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 6-6. Boston scored only seven points in the first quarter of series 1305 Game 2, thereby setting a futility record for fewest points in the first quarter of a best-of-7 format NBA playoff game. The seven-point first quarter breaks the old record for fewest points in the first quarter of a best-of-7 format NBA playoff game (eight points), set in series 63 by the old Chicago Stags in 1947 NBA Semifinals Game 4, and tied in series 518 by the Utah Jazz in 1988 NBA Quarterfinals Game 1, and in series 1109 by the Dallas Mavericks in 2010 NBA Preliminary round Game 6.

After Game 1: The Atlanta Hawks hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 102-pts-101 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1305 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 6-3 and a Game 2 record of 4-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 10-19 (with an active three-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 17-12 (with an active three-Game 2 losing streak).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2015-16 NBA regular season, the Atlanta Hawks finished tied with the Boston Celtics. From 1947 through the 2015 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by zero regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 9-9 (.500) for the team that won the tiebreaker and is playing Game 1 at home in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1305 is the 30th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Atlanta Hawks, and the 87th for the Boston Celtics. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Atlanta Hawks have an all-rounds series record of 7-22, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-4, and a Game 1 record of 9-20, while the Boston Celtics have an all-rounds series record of 62-24 (with an active three-series losing streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 6-4, and a Game 1 record of 57-29 (with an active three-Game 1 losing streak). Series 1305 is the seventh best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Atlanta Hawks and the Boston Celtics. Boston defeated Atlanta in each of the previous six best-of-7 NBA playoff series between them.