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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2018 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1357.
Colorado Avalanche vs Nashville Predators

Schedule and 2017-18 Results
Regular Season Records: Nashville 53-18-11=117pts, Colorado 43-30-9=95pts
Game 1 on Thursday, 12 April: Colorado loses at Nashville, 5-goals-2
Game 2 on Saturday, 14 April: Colorado loses at Nashville, 5-goals-4
Game 3 on Monday, 16 April: Nashville loses at Colorado, 5-goals-3
Game 4 on Wednesday, 18 April: Nashville wins at Colorado, 3-goals-2
Game 5 on Friday, 20 April: Colorado wins at Nashville, 2-goals-1
Game 6 on Sunday, 22 April: Nashville wins at Colorado, 5-goals-nil

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Nashville Predators visited and shut out the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-nil to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1357 victory. With the series 1357 win, the Nashville Predators improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 7-10 overall and 5-6 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1357 loss, the Colorado Avalanche see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 19-12 with an active four-series losing streak overall and 9-5 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Nashville Predators in series 1357 was WWLWLW: Series 1357 thus becomes the ninth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 21st NHL series (all rounds), and the 45th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The Colorado Avalanche visited and bested the Nashville Predators 2-goals-1 to drop the Nashville Predators best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1357 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 3-0 and a Game 6 record of 3-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 6 record of 3-3. The Colorado Avalanche trailed the Predators in Nashville by a goal as late as 15:48 into the third period of series 1357 Game 5, but won. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through 2017, inclusive, road teams trailing by a goal as late as 15:48 into the third period had a game record of 46-627 (.068).

After Game 4: The Nashville Predators visited and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 3-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1357 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 5 record of 1-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 0-2 and a Game 5 record of 2-0.

After Game 3: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and topped the Nashville Predators 5-goals-3 to reduce the Nashville Predators best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1357 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 5-1 with an active five-series winning streak and a Game 4 record of 2-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 4-3 and a Game 4 record of 6-1 with an active five-Game 4 winning streak.

After Game 2: The Nashville Predators hosted and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-4 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1357 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 3 record of 1-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 3 record of 1-3. The sole Colorado Game 3 and series victory in the wake of a 2-games-nil best-of-7 NHL playoff series deficit occurred in series 784, in which the Avalanche won Games 3-6 against the Detroit Red Wings to win that 1999 NHL Quarterfinals series.

After Game 1: The Nashville Predators hosted and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1357 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 6-2 with an active six-series winning streak and a Game 2 record of 2-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 4-6 with an active five-series losing streak and a Game 2 record of 6-4.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2017-18 NHL regular season, the Nashville Predators finished 22 points ahead of the Colorado Avalanche. From 1939 through the 2017 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 22 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 8-1 (.889) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1357 is the 17th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Nashville Predators, and the 31st for the Colorado Avalanche. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Nashville Predators have an all-rounds series record of 6-10, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-6, and a Game 1 record of 8-8, while the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 19-11, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-4, and a Game 1 record of 20-10. Series 1357 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Nashville Predators and the Colorado Avalanche.