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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2019 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1405.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors

Schedule and 2018-19 Results
Regular Season Records: Golden State 57-25, Los Angeles Clippers 48-34
Game 1 on Saturday, 13 April: Los Angeles Clippers lose at Golden State, 121-pts-104
Game 2 on Monday, 15 April: Los Angeles Clippers win at Golden State, 135-pts-131
Game 3 on Thursday, 18 April: Golden State wins at Los Angeles Clippers, 132-pts-105
Game 4 on Sunday, 21 April: Golden State wins at Los Angeles Clippers, 113-pts-105
Game 5 on Wednesday, 24 April: Los Angeles Clippers win at Golden State, 129-pts-121
Game 6 on Friday, 26 April: Golden State wins at Los Angeles Clippers, 129p-pts-110

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Golden State Warriors visited and bested the Los Angeles Clippers 129-pts-110 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1405 victory. With the series 1405 win, the Golden State Warriors improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 23-11 (with an active nine-series winning streak befitting a two-time defending NBA champion) overall and 7-1 (with an active five-series winning streak) in the Preliminary round. With the series 1405 loss, the Los Angeles Clippers see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 4-8 (with an active four-series losing streak) overall and 4-4 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Golden State Warriors in series 1405 was WLWWLW: Series 1405 thus becomes the seventh NBA Preliminary-round series, the 23rd NBA series (all rounds), and the 48th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The Los Angeles Clippers visited and topped the Golden State Warriors 129-pts-121 to reduce the Golden State Warriors best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1405 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 7-2 and a Game 6 record of 7-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-5 and a Game 6 record of 3-3. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2, the Golden State Warriors Game 6 outcome has presaged their series outcome perfectly (i.e., both Game 6 losses were followed by Game 7 losses). The sole Los Angeles Clippers best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory upon trailing 3-games-2 occurred in series 1275, over the San Antonio Spurs in the 2015 NBA Preliminary round.

After Game 4: The Golden State Warriors visited and bested the Los Angeles Clippers 113-pts-105 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1405 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 8-1 and a Game 5 record of 6-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 5 record of 0-0. In series 1405, which is their 12th best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Los Angeles Clippers trail a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1 for the first time.

After Game 3: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 132-pts-105 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1405 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 8-2 and a Game 4 record of 6-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 4 record of 3-0. The total of 384 points amassed by the Golden State Warriors in series 1405 Games 1-3 are the most in the first three games of a best-of-7 NBA playoff series since 2003, when the Dallas Mavericks totaled 386 points in series 899 Games 1-3 (in the NBA Quarterfinals against the Sacramento Kings). The total of 384 points amassed by the Golden State Warriors in series 1405 Games 1-3 are the most ever in the first three games of a best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round playoff series, breaking the record of 378 set two hours 39 minutes earlier by the Philadelphia 76ers in series 1403 Games 1-3.

After Game 2: The Los Angeles Clippers visited and vanquished the Golden State Warriors 135-pts-131 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1405 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 10-6 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 3 record of 8-8, while the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 3-4 and a Game 3 record of 4-3. The Los Angeles Clippers trailed the host Golden State Warriors by 23 points at halftime in series 1405 Game 2. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games since 1947, inclusive, teams irrespective of site trailing by 23 points at halftime had a perfect 0-16 (.000) game record prior to the Clippers series 1405 Game 2 comeback victory. The 23-point series 1405 Game 2 halftime deficit by the Clippers is the second-largest halftime deficit ever surmounted in best-of-7 NBA playoff game history - in series 1336 Game 3, the Cleveland Cavaliers trailed the Pacers in Indiana by 25 halftime points in their 2017 NBA Preliminary-round series, but won the game. The series 1405 Game 2 loss ends the Golden State Warriors overall best-of-7 NBA playoff game winning streak at seven games.

After Game 1: The Golden State Warriors hosted and topped the Los Angeles Clippers 121-pts-104 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1405 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 19-4 (with an active eight-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 13-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 2 record of 3-1. The series 1405 Game 1 win extends the Golden State Warriors overall best-of-7 NBA playoff game winning streak to seven games, beginning with Game 6 of the 2018 NBA Western Conference Finals. The series 1405 Game 1 win also extends the Golden State Warriors best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 1 winning streak to ten games. Golden State now owns a 17-1 Game 1 record, beginning with the 2014 best-of-7 NBA Preliminary round.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NBA regular season, the Golden State Warriors finished nine games ahead of the Los Angeles Clippers. From 1947 through the 2018 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by nine regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 24-4 (.857) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1405 is the 34th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Golden State Warriors, and the 12th for the Los Angeles Clippers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 22-11 (with an active eight-series winning streak befitting a two-time defending NBA champion), a Preliminary-round series record of 6-1, and a Game 1 record of 23-10 (with an active nine-Game 1 winning streak), while the Los Angeles Clippers have an all-rounds series record of 4-7, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-3, and a Game 1 record of 7-4. Series 1405 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Clippers. The Los Angeles Clippers ousted Golden State from the 2014 NBA Preliminary round; since then, Golden State has recorded a 15-1 playoff series record.