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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2019 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1409.
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Schedule and 2018-19 Results:
Regular Season Records: Milwaukee 60-22, Boston 49-33
Game 1 on Sunday, 28 April: Boston wins at Milwaukee, 112-pts-90
Game 2 on Tuesday, 30 April: Boston loses at Milwaukee, 123-pts-102
Game 3 on Friday, 03 May: Milwaukee wins at Boston, 123-pts-116
Game 4 on Monday, 06 May: Milwaukee wins at Boston, 113-pts-101
Game 5 on Wednesday, 08 May: Boston loses at Milwaukee, 116-pts-91

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Milwaukee Bucks hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 116-pts-91 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1409 victory. With the series 1409 win, the Milwaukee Bucks improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 13-23 overall and 9-8 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1409 loss, the Boston Celtics see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 67-28 overall and 21-8 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Milwaukee Bucks in series 1409 was LWWWW: Series 1409 thus becomes the seventh NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 22nd NBA series (all rounds), and the 66th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Having won series 1409, the Milwaukee Bucks thus advance to the NBA Semifinals for the first time since 2001.

After Game 4: The Milwaukee Bucks visited and defeated the Boston Celtics 113-pts-101 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1409 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 5-0 and a Game 5 record of 5-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 2-10 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 7-5. The Milwaukee Bucks trailed the Celtics in Boston by eight points after the first quarter of series 1409 Game 4, but rallied for the road victory. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games, road teams down eight points after one quarter had a game record of only 17-83 (.170) prior to series 1409 Game 4.

After Game 3: The Milwaukee Bucks visited and defeated the Boston Celtics 123-pts-116 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1409 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 6-4 and a Game 4 record of 4-6 (with an active five-Game 4 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 10-17 and a Game 4 record of 17-10.

After Game 2: The Milwaukee Bucks hosted and defeated the Boston Celtics 123-pts-102 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1409 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 4-9 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 7-6, while the Boston Celtics have a series record of 27-13 and a Game 3 record of 22-18. Series 1409 becomes only the third best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the home team (the Bucks in Milwaukee) lost Game 1 by twenty or more points but then won Game 2 by twenty or more points: The two previous home teams to do so (the old Washington Bullets, in series 363 in the 1979 NBA Semifinals against the San Antonio Spurs; the San Antonio Spurs themselves, in series 1346 in the 2017 NBA Quarterfinals against the Houston Rockets) won their respective series.

After Game 1: The Boston Celtics visited and defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 112-pts-90 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1409 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 56-6 and a Game 2 record of 39-23 (with an active five-Game 2 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 3-20 (wth an active 11-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 9-14 (with an active five-Game 2 losing streak). The Boston Celtics have won Games 1-2 of their last four best-of-7 NBA playoff series.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NBA regular season, the Milwaukee Bucks finished eleven games ahead of the Boston Celtics. From 1947 through the 2019 NHL and NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eleven regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 26-5 (.839) with an active eight-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1409 is the 36th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Milwaukee Bucks, and the 95th for the Boston Celtics. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Milwaukee Bucks have an all-rounds series record of 12-23, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 8-8, and a Game 1 record of 12-23, while the Boston Celtics have an all-rounds series record of 67-27, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 21-7, and a Game 1 record of 62-32 (with an active four-Game 1 winning streak). Series 1409 is the seventh best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. Boston has won five of the previous six best-of-7 NBA playoff series against Milwaukee, with Milwaukee having won only series 420 (in the 1983 NBA Quarterfinals) in a four-game sweep.