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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2019 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1411.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Schedule and 2018-19 Results:
Regular Season Records: Golden State 57-25, Houston 53-29
Game 1 on Sunday, 28 April: Houston loses at Golden State, 104-pts-100
Game 2 on Tuesday, 30 April: Houston loses at Golden State, 115-pts-109
Game 3 on Saturday, 04 May: Golden State loses at Houston, 126-pts-121 (OT)
Game 4 on Monday, 06 May: Golden State loses at Houston, 112-pts-108
Game 5 on Wednesday, 08 May: Houston loses at Golden State, 104-pts-99
Game 6 on Friday, 10 May: Golden State wins at Houston, 118-pts-113

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Houston Rockets 118-pts-113 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1411 victory. With the series 1411 win, the Golden State Warriors improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 24-11 (with an active ten-series winning streak befitting a two-time defending NBA champion) overall and 8-7 (with an active five-series winning streak) in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1411 loss, the Houston Rockets see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 19-21 overall and 8-8 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Golden State Warriors in series 1411 was WWLLWW: Series 1411 thus becomes the 13th NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 36th NBA series (all rounds), and the 81st MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Golden State trailed series 1411 Game 6 on the road by five points after three quarters, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series, road teams down five points after three quarters had a game record of only 25-79 (.240) prior to series 1411 Game 6.

After Game 5: The Golden State Warriors hosted and bested the Houston Rockets 104-pts-99 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1411 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 8-2 and a Game 6 record of 8-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 3-12 and a Game 6 record of 6-9. In all ten previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Golden State Warriors led 3-games-2 after five games, their Game 6 outcome presaged their series outcome (eight wins; two losses).

After Game 4: The Houston Rockets hosted and defeated the Golden State Warriors 112-pts-108 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1411 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 7-4 and a Game 5 record of 6-5, while the Houston Rockets have a series record of 6-8 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 7-7.

After Game 3: The Houston Rockets hosted and bested the Golden State Warriors 126-pts-121 in overtime to drop the Golden State Warriors best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1411 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 9-2 and a Game 4 record of 7-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 4-14 and a Game 4 record of 8-10. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series WWL @ HHV, the Golden State Warriors have a perfect 4-0 Game 4 record.

After Game 2: The Golden State Warriors hosted and defeated the Houston Rockets 115-pts-109 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1411 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 12-1 (with an active seven-series winning streak) and a Game 3 record of 9-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 2-14 (with an active eight-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 12-4.

After Game 1: The Golden State Warriors hosted and defeated the Houston Rockets 104-pts-100 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1411 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 20-4 (with an active nine-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 13-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Houston Rockets have a series record of 5-16 and a Game 2 record of 5-16. With their series 1411 Game 1 win, the Golden State Warriors extend their best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 1 winning streak to eleven games.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NBA regular season, the Golden State Warriors finished four games ahead of the Houston Rockets. From 1947 through the 2019 NHL and NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 27-12 (.692) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1411 is the 35th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Golden State Warriors, and the 40th for the Houston Rockets. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 23-11 (with an active nine-series winning streak befitting a two-time defending NBA champion), a Quarterfinals-round series record of 7-7 (with an active four-series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 24-10 (with an active ten-Game 1 winning streak), while the Houston Rockets have an all-rounds series record of 19-20, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 8-7, and a Game 1 record of 18-21. Series 1411 is the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets. Golden State defeated Houston in all three previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings between the two teams.