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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2021 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1474.
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers

Schedule and 2020-21 Results
Regular Season Records: Los Angeles Clippers 47-25, Dallas 42-30
Game 1 on Saturday, 22 May: Dallas wins at Los Angeles Clippers, 113-pts-103
Game 2 on Tuesday, 25 May: Dallas wins at Los Angeles Clippers, 127-pts-121
Game 3 on Friday, 28 May: Los Angeles Clippers win at Dallas, 118-pts-108
Game 4 on Sunday, 30 May: Los Angeles Clippers win at Dallas, 106-pts-81
Game 5 on Wednesday, 2 June: Dallas wins at Los Angeles Clippers, 105-pts-100
Game 6 on Friday, 4 June: Los Angeles Clippers win at Dallas, 104-pts-97
Game 7 on Sunday, 6 June: Dallas loses at Los Angeles Clippers, 126-pts-111

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Los Angeles Clippers hosted and bested the Dallas Mavericks 126-pts-111 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1474 victory. With the series 1474 win, the Los Angeles Clippers improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 6-9 overall and 6-4 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1474 loss, the Dallas Mavericks see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 12-19 (with an active six-series losing streak) overall and 5-10 (with an active six-Preliminary round series losing streak) in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Los Angeles Clippers in series 1474 was LLWWLWW: Series 1474 thus becomes the second NBA Preliminary-round series, the sixth NBA series (all rounds), and the 17th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 6: The Los Angeles Clippers visited and bested the Dallas Mavericks 104-pts-97 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1474 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Los Angeles Clippers have a Game 7 record of 3-4, while the Dallas Mavericks have a Game 7 record of 4-2. The Los Angeles Clippers have a 2-2 Game 7 record at home. The Dallas Mavericks have a 1-2 Game 7 record on the road. Series 1474 becomes only the second best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series to follow a WWLLWL @ VVHHVH win/site order through the first six games; the first was series 1443, in the 2020 NBA Quarterfinals (in which the Boston Celtics defeated the Toronto Raptors with road teams winning all seven games).

After Game 5: The Dallas Mavericks visited and bested the Los Angeles Clippers 105-pts-100 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1474 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 8-0 and a Game 6 record of 4-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-6 and a Game 6 record of 3-4. Series 1474 becomes only the eighth best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series and only the third NBA playoff series to present a win/site order of WWLLW @ VVHHV (by Dallas, in this instance).

After Game 4: The Los Angeles Clippers visited and defeated the Dallas Mavericks 106-pts-81 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1474 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 3-5 and a Game 5 record of 2-6, while the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 6-6 and a Game 5 record of 6-6. Series 1474 becomes only the seventh best-of-7 NBA playoff series to post a LLWW@HHVV win/site order (by the Clippers) through four games, in a statement about the strength of the home-court advantage in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. In all twelve previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Dallas Mavericks found themselves tied 2-games-all, their Game 5 outcome presaged their series outcome (six wins, six losses).

After Game 3: The Los Angeles Clippers visited and defeated the Dallas Mavericks 118-pts-108 to reduce the Dallas Mavericks best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1474 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 6-2 and a Game 4 record of 3-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 4 record of 3-1. Series 1474 is only the 14th best-of-7 NBA playoff series to open with a WWL @ VVH win/site order (as the Dallas Mavericks have posted through three games of series 1474): Rare it is for the road team to win the first three games of a best-of-7 NBA playoff series.

After Game 2: The Dallas Mavericks visited and defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 127-pts-121 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1474 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 4-1 and a Game 3 record of 3-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 0-1 and a Game 3 record of 0-1. Series 1474 is only the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Los Angeles Clippers trailed 2-games-nil; the first was best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1180 against the San Antonio Spurs in the 2012 NBA Quarterfinals, in which the Clippers also lost Games 3-4 en route to ouster from the 2012 NBA playoffs via four-game sweep.

After Game 1: The Dallas Mavericks visited and defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 113-pts-103 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1474 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 6-3 and a Game 2 record of 5-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Clippers have a series record of 1-4 and a Game 2 record of 4-1. With their series 1474 Game 1 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers, the Dallas Mavericks snap their best-of-7 NBA playoffs Game 1 losing streak at six games.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2020-21 NBA regular season, the Los Angeles Clippers finished five games ahead of the Dallas Mavericks. From 1947 through the 2020 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by five regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 25-11 (.694) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1474 is the 15th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Los Angeles Clippers, and the 31st for the Dallas Mavericks. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Los Angeles Clippers have an all-rounds series record of 5-9, a Preliminary-round series record of 5-4, and a Game 1 record of 9-5, while the Dallas Mavericks have an all-rounds series record of 12-18 (with an active five-series losing streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 5-9, and a Game 1 record of 9-21 (with an active six-Game 1 losing streak). Series 1474 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Los Angeles Clippers and the Dallas Mavericks. In their only previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting, the Los Angeles Clippers defeated the Dallas Mavericks in the 2020 NBA Preliminary round. The Dallas Mavericks in series 1474 seek their first best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory since series 1151, in the 2011 NBA Finals over the Miami Heat.