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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2021 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1462.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche

Schedule and 2020-21 Results
Regular Season Records: Colorado 39-13-4=82pts, Vegas 40-14-2=82pts
Game 1 on Sunday, 30 May: Vegas loses at Colorado, 7-goals-1
Game 2 on Wednesday, 2 June: Vegas loses at Colorado, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 3 on Friday, 4 June: Colorado loses at Vegas, 3-goals-2
Game 4 on Sunday, 6 June: Colorado loses at Vegas, 5-goals-1
Game 5 on Tuesday, 8 June: Vegas wins at Colorado, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 6 on Thursday, 10 June: Colorado loses at Vegas, 6-goals-3

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and outscored the Colorado Avalanche 6-goals-3 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1462 victory. With the series 1462 win, the Vegas Golden Knights improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 7-3 overall and 3-0 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1462 loss, the Colorado Avalanche see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 22-15 overall and 6-6 (with an active six-Quarterfinals series losing streak) in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Vegas Golden Knights in series 1462 was LLWWWW: Series 1462 thus becomes the eighth NHL Quarterfinals-round series, the 24th NHL series (all rounds), and the 40th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and bested the Colorado Avalanche 3-goals-2(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1462 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 6 record of 1-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 2-7 and a Game 6 record of 5-4. The Vegas Golden Knights trailed the host Colorado Avalanche by two goals as late as 1:02 into the third period but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2020, inclusive, road teams down two goals as late as 1:02 into the third period had a game record of only 28-472 (.056) - the Vegas Golden Knights thus achieve a grade-A in-game comeback.

After Game 4: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and outscored the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-1 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1462 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 8-6 and a Game 5 record of 9-5, while the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 5 record of 1-0. In the only previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series in which the Vegas Golden Knights were tied 2-games-all, Vegas won Games 5 and 6 to win the series (over the San Jose Sharks in series 1364, in the 2018 NHL Quarterfinals).

After Game 3: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and bested the Colorado Avalanche 3-goals-2 to reduce the Colorado Avalanche best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1462 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 13-5 and a Game 4 record of 11-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 0-2 and a Game 4 record of 0-2.

After Game 2: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-2(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1462 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 14-1 and a Game 3 record of 5-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 3 record of 0-0. The Vegas Golden Knights trail a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil for the first time in this (series 1462), their tenth best-of-7 NHL playoff series.

After Game 1: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 7-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1462 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 17-5 and a Game 2 record of 15-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 2-2 and a Game 2 record of 4-0. In the history of best-of-7 NHL Quarterfinals series from 1939 through 2020, inclusive, teams such as the Colorado Avalanche which score six or more goals while allowing one or fewer goals had a series record of 9-0, with seven of the nine wins completed in five games or less.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2020-21 NHL regular season, the Colorado Avalanche finished zero points ahead of the Vegas Golden Knights. From 1939 through the 2021 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by zero regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 12-8 (.600, for the team playing Game 1 at home) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1462 is the 37th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Colorado Avalanche, and the tenth for the Vegas Golden Knights. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 22-14, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 6-5 (with an active five-series losing streak), and a Game 1 record of 22-14, while the Vegas Golden Knights have an all-rounds series record of 6-3, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 2-0, and a Game 1 record of 5-4. Series 1462 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Colorado Avalanche and the Vegas Golden Knights.