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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2021 NHL Semifinals round - Series 1464.
Montreal Canadiens vs Vegas Golden Knights

Schedule and 2020-21 Results
Regular Season Records: Vegas 40-14-2=82pts, Montreal 24-21-11=59pts
Game 1 on Monday, 14 June: Montreal loses at Vegas, 4-goals-1
Game 2 on Wednesday, 16 June: Montreal wins at Vegas, 3-goals-2
Game 3 on Friday, 18 June: Vegas loses at Montreal, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 4 on Sunday, 20 June: Vegas wins at Montreal, 2-goals-1(OT)
Game 5 on Tuesday, 22 June: Montreal wins at Vegas, 4-goals-1
Game 6 on Thursday, 24 June: Vegas loses at Montreal, 3-goals-2(OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Montreal Canadiens hosted and bested the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-2(OT) to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1464 victory. With the series 1464 win, the Montreal Canadiens improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 80-42 overall and 28-13 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1464 loss, the Vegas Golden Knights see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 7-4 overall and 1-2 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Montreal Canadiens in series 1464 was LWWLWW: Series 1464 thus becomes the seventh NHL Semifinals-round series, the 22nd NHL series (all rounds), and the 37th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The Montreal Canadiens visited and bested the Vegas Golden Knights 4-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1464 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Montreal Canadiens have a series record of 26-3 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 20-9. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 6 record of 0-0. Vegas faces a 3-games-2 deficit after five games for the first time in series 1464, the eleventh best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Vegas Golden Knights.

After Game 4: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and defeated the Montreal Canadiens 2-goals-1(OT) to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1464 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 5 record of 2-0, while the Montreal Canadiens have a series record of 25-19 and a Game 5 record of 22-22 (with an active six-Game 5 losing streak). The Vegas Golden Knights trailed the host Montreal Canadiens by a goal as late as 10:36 into the third period of series 1464 Game 4, but prevailed. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2020, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 10:36 into the third period had a game record of only 105-653 (.139) - the Vegas Golden Knights thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback in knotting series 1464 at 2-games-all.

After Game 3: The Montreal Canadiens hosted and topped the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-2(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1464 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Montreal Canadiens have a series record of 38-11 and a Game 4 record of 18-31. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 4 record of 1-2. The sole Vegas Game 4 and series win in the wake of a 2-games-1 deficit occurred in the last such Vegas series, over the Colorado Avalanche in the 2021 NHL Quarterfinals. The Montreal Canadiens trailed the visiting Vegas Golden Knights by a goal in series 1464 Game 3 as late as 18:04 into the third period but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2020, inclusive, home teams down a goal as late as 18:04 into the third period had a game record of only 48-549 (.080) - the Montreal Canadiens thus achieve a grade-A in-game comeback.

After Game 2: The Montreal Canadiens visited and topped the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-2 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1464 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 4-3 and a Game 3 record of 5-2, while the Montreal Canadiens have a series record of 23-19 and a Game 3 record of 26-16.

After Game 1: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and bested the Montreal Canadiens 4-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1464 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 4-1 and a Game 2 record of 2-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Montreal Canadiens have a series record of 16-31 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 24-23.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2020-21 NHL regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights finished 23 points ahead of the Montreal Canadiens. From 1939 through the 2021 NHL Quarterfinals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 23 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 9-3 (.750, with an active four-series winning streak) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1464 is the eleventh best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Vegas Golden Knights, and the 122nd for the Montreal Canadiens. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have an all-rounds series record of 7-3, a Semifinals-round series record of 1-1, and a Game 1 record of 5-5, while the Montreal Canadiens have an all-rounds series record of 79-42, a Semifinals-round series record of 27-13, and a Game 1 record of 74-47. Series 1464 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Montreal Canadiens.