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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1511.
Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies

Schedule and 2021-22 Results:
Regular Season Records: Memphis 56-26, Golden State 53-29
Game 1 on Sunday, 01 May: Golden State wins at Memphis, 117-pts-116
Game 2 on Tuesday, 03 May: Golden State loses at Memphis, 106-pts-101
Game 3 on Saturday, 07 May: Memphis loses at Golden State, 142-pts-112
Game 4 on Monday, 09 May: Memphis loses at Golden State, 101-pts-98
Game 5 on Wednesday, 11 May: Golden State loses at Memphis, 134-pts-95
Game 6 on Friday, 13 May: Memphis loses at Golden State, 110-pts-96

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Golden State Warriors hosted and defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 110-pts-96 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1511 victory. With the series 1511 win, the Golden State Warriors improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 27-12 overall and 9-7 (with an active six-series winning streak) in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1511 loss, the Memphis Grizzlies see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 5-12 overall and 1-3 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Golden State Warriors in series 1511 was WLWWLW: Series 1511 thus becomes the eighth NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 25th NBA series (all rounds), and the 52nd MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The Memphis Grizzlies hosted and bested the Golden State Warriors 134-pts-95 to reduce the Golden State Warriors best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1511 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 9-2 and a Game 6 record of 9-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Memphis Grizzlies have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 6 record of 2-2. In all eleven previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Golden State Warriors led 3-games-2 after five games, their Game 6 outcome presaged their series outcome (nine wins, two losses). Memphis led Golden State by 52 points after three quarters: The 52-point lead after three quarters of series 1511 Game 5 ties that of series 224 Game 3 (in the 1970 NBA Quarterfinals), posted by the Milwaukee Bucks over the 76ers in Philadelphia, for the largest lead after three quarters of a best-of-7 NBA playoff game (all rounds).

After Game 4: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 101-pts-98 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1511 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 10-1 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 7-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Memphis Grizzlies have a series record of 0-2 and a Game 5 record of 1-1. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1 (as they now do against the Memphis Grizzlies in series 1511), the Golden State Warriors suffered their only series loss in series 1316, to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2016 NBA Finals.

After Game 3: The Golden State Warriors hosted and defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 142-pts-112 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1511 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 10-2 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 7-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Memphis Grizzlies have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 4 record of 2-2. The sole previous Memphis Grizzlies series victory in the wake of a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-1 deficit occurred in series 1210, in which Memphis defeated the Los Angeles Clippers in six games in the 2013 NBA Preliminary round. The 142 points scored by the Golden State Warriors in series 1511 Game 3 are the most points by one team in a best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals game since series 618, in which the Portland Trailblazers visited and defeated the Phoenix Suns 153-pts-151 in two overtime periods in Game 4 of their 1992 NBA Quarterfinals series.

After Game 2: The Memphis Grizzlies hosted and defeated the Golden State Warriors 106-pts-101 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1511 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Memphis Grizzlies have a series record of 3-5 and a Game 3 record of 6-2, while the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 11-7 and a Game 3 record of 7-11.

After Game 1: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 117-pts-116 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1511 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 23-4 (with an active 12-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 16-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Memphis Grizzlies have a series record of 5-11 and a Game 2 record of 6-10. The Golden State Warriors trailed series 1511 Game 1 by six points at halftime against the Grizzlies in Memphis, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through the 2022 NBA Preliminary round, inclusive, road teams down six points at halftime had a 29-125 (.188) game record; so it is that the Golden State Warriors achieved a Grade-B (.100 - .199) comeback in series 1511 Game 1.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the Memphis Grizzlies finished three games ahead of the Golden State Warriors. From 1947 through the 2022 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-17 (.564) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1511 is the 17th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Memphis Grizzlies, and the 39th for the Golden State Warriors. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Memphis Grizzlies have an all-rounds series record of 5-11, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 1-2, and a Game 1 record of 4-12, while the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 26-12, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 8-7 (with an active five-series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 27-11. Series 1511 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Golden State Warriors. Golden State defeated Memphis in six games in their sole previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting (in series 1279, in the 2015 NBA Quarterfinals). In their last thirteen best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (twelve wins, one loss).