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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NBA Semifinals round - Series 1512.
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Schedule and 2021-22 Results
Regular Season Records: Miami 53-29, Boston 51-31
Game 1 on Tuesday, 17 May: Boston loses at Miami, 118-pts-107
Game 2 on Thursday, 19 May: Boston wins at Miami, 127-pts-102
Game 3 on Saturday, 21 May: Miami wins at Boston, 109-pts-103
Game 4 on Monday, 23 May: Miami loses at Boston, 102-pts-82
Game 5 on Wednesday, 25 May: Boston wins at Miami, 93-pts-80
Game 6 on Friday, 27 May: Miami wins at Boston, 111-pts-103
Game 7 on Sunday, 29 May: Boston wins at Miami, 100-pts-96

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Boston Celtics visited and defeated the Miami Heat 100-pts-96 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1512 victory. With the series 1512 win, the Boston Celtics improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 72-30 overall and 21-12 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1512 loss, the Miami Heat see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 28-14 overall and 6-3 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Boston Celtics in series 1512 was LWLWWLW: Series 1512 thus becomes the third NBA Semifinals-round series, the tenth NBA series (all rounds), and the 28th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The series 1512 Game 7 victory by the Boston Celtics is their best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL-leading 26th Game 7 victory; tied for second place in Game 7 wins irrespective of site are the NHL Boston Bruins and the NHL Montreal Canadiens with 15 Game 7 wins each. The victorious Boston Celtics in series 1512 have posted a LWLWWLW win order for a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL-leading fourth time; no other MLB/NBA/NHL entity has followed the LWLWWLW win order to victory more than twice. Before series 1512, the previous three best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Boston Celtics followed the LWLWWLW win order to victory were in series 115 (in the 1957 NBA Finals), series 155 (in the 1963 NBA Semifinals), and series 440 (in the 1984 NBA Finals). The series 1512 win by the Boston Celtics snaps their four-series losing streak in best-of-7 NBA Semifinals series; the series 1512 loss by the Miami Heat snaps their six-series winning streak in best-of-7 NBA Semifinals series and their four-Game 7 winning streak at home (all rounds).

After Game 6: The Miami Heat visited and bested the Boston Celtics 111-pts-103 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1512 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Miami Heat have a Game 7 record of 6-4, while the Boston Celtics have a Game 7 record of 25-9. The Miami Heat have a best-of-7 NBA playoff series home-court Game 7 record of 6-2, with an active four-Game 7 winning streak at home. The Boston Celtics have a best-of-7 NBA playoff series road-court Game 7 record of 4-4.

After Game 5: The Boston Celtics visited and bested the Miami Heat 93-pts-80 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1512 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 40-4 and a Game 6 record of 21-23 (with an active four-Game 6 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Miami Heat have a series record of 4-5 and a Game 6 record of 6-3. Once before did the Boston Celtics open a best-of-7 NBA playoff series LWLWW @ VVHHV: In series 1112, the Celtics did so in the 2010 NBA Quarterfinals against the Cleveland Cavaliers, and prevailed in six games en route to the 2010 NBA Finals (which the Celtics lost to the Los Angeles Lakers in seven games). The Miami Heat in series 1512 open a best-of-7 NBA playoff series WLWLL @ HHVVH for the first time in Miami Heat history.

After Game 4: The Boston Celtics hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 102-pts-82 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1512 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Miami Heat have a series record of 9-6 and a Game 5 record of 8-7, while the Boston Celtics have a series record of 34-13 and a Game 5 record of 34-13. Tied WLWL @ HHVV in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Miami Heat have a 1-2 series record; tied LWLW @ VVHH in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a 1-1 series record.

After Game 3: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Boston Celtics 109-pts-103 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1512 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 16-4 (with an active ten-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 10-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 11-20 and a Game 4 record of 18-13.

After Game 2: The Boston Celtics visited and defeated the Miami Heat 127-pts-102 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1512 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Miami Heat have a series record of 10-7 and a Game 3 record of 11-6, while the Boston Celtics have a series record of 28-14 and a Game 3 record of 22-20. The series 1512 Game 2 victory by the Boston Celtics over the Heat in Miami snaps the Miami Heat Game 2-winning streak (upon having first won Game 1) at five games.

After Game 1: The Miami Heat hosted and outscored the Boston Celtics 118-pts-107 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1512 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 20-3 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 17-6 (with an active five-Game 2 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 12-23 and a Game 2 record of 18-17. The Miami Heat trailed series 1512 Game 1 by eight points after two quarters, but rallied to defeat the Boston Celtics: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games beginning in 1947, home teams down eight points at halftime had a game record of 24-49 (.329); so it is that the Miami Heat achieve a Grade-D (.300 - .399) in-game comeback in series 1512 Game 1.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the Miami Heat finished two games ahead of the Boston Celtics. From 1947 through the 2022 NBA Quarterfinals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by two regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-15 (.595) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1512 is the 42nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Miami Heat, and the 102nd for the Boston Celtics. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Miami Heat have an all-rounds series record of 28-13, a Semifinals-round series record of 6-2 (with an active six-Semifinals series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 23-18, while the Boston Celtics have an all-rounds series record of 71-30, a Semifinals-round series record of 20-12 (with an active four-Semifinals series losing streak), and a Game 1 record of 66-35. Series 1512 is the fifth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics. Miami won three of the four previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series between these two teams, including the last three such series.