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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NBA Finals round - Series 1514.
Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Schedule and 2021-22 Results
Regular Season Records: Golden State 53-29, Boston 51-31
Game 1 on Thursday, 02 June: Boston wins at Golden State, 120-pts-108
Game 2 on Sunday, 05 June: Boston loses at Golden State, 107-pts-88
Game 3 on Wednesday, 08 June: Golden State loses at Boston, 116-pts-100
Game 4 on Friday, 10 June: Golden State wins at Boston, 107-pts-97
Game 5 on Monday, 13 June: Boston loses at Golden State, 104-pts-94
Game 6 on Thursday, 16 June: Golden State wins at Boston, 103-pts-90

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Boston Celtics 103-pts-90 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1514 victory. With the series 1514 win, the Golden State Warriors improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 29-12 overall and 5-2 in the Finals round. With the series 1514 loss, the Boston Celtics see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 72-31 overall and 17-5 in the Finals round. The win order for the victorious Golden State Warriors in series 1514 was LWLWWW: Series 1514 thus becomes the second NBA Finals-round series, the 16th NBA series (all rounds), and the 41st MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The 2022 NBA championship for the Golden State Warriors is their fourth in eight seasons. The series 1514 victory by the Golden State Warriors is the fourth consecutive best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory by the Warriors (befitting a newly-crowned NBA champion), the fifteenth best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory by the Warriors in their last sixteen such series, and the 22nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory by the Warriors in their last 24 such series (beginning with the 2015 NBA playoff season).

After Game 5: The Golden State Warriors hosted and bested the Boston Celtics 104-pts-94 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1514 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 10-2 and a Game 6 record of 10-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 6-15 and a Game 6 record of 11-10. In all dozen best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Golden State Warriors led 3-games-2 (as they now do against the Boston Celtics in series 1514), the Game 6 outcome for the Golden State Warriors presaged their series outcome (ten wins, two losses).

After Game 4: The Golden State Warriors visited and bested the Boston Celtics 107-pts-97 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1514 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 8-4 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 7-5, while the Boston Celtics have a series record of 35-13 and a Game 5 record of 35-13. In their best-of-7 NBA playoff series history, the Golden State Warriors when knotted 2-games-all won their first four series, then lost their next four series, then won their last four series for the 8-4 series record they now have when tied 2-games-all.

After Game 3: The Boston Celtics hosted and topped the Golden State Warriors 116-pts-100 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1514 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 43-4 and a Game 4 record of 18-29 (with an active five-Game 4 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 5-8 and a Game 4 record of 7-6.

After Game 2: The Golden State Warriors hosted and bested the Boston Celtics 107-pts-88 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1514 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 12-7 and a Game 3 record of 8-11, while the Boston Celtics have a series record of 29-14 and a Game 3 record of 22-21. Tied LW @ HH in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have a 1-0 series record, having won series 1315 under such circumstances in the 2016 NBA Semifinals (Golden State fell behind 3-games-1 to the Oklahoma City Thunder, but rallied for a 4-games-3 series victory; Oklahoma City is 0-4 in best-of-7 NBA playoff series since). Tied WL @ VV in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a 2-2 series record.

After Game 1: The Boston Celtics visited and defeated the Golden State Warriors 120-pts-108 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1514 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 59-7 and a Game 2 record of 42-24. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 3-8 and a Game 2 record of 7-4 (with an active four-Game 2 winning streak). Series 1514 Game 1 becomes the first NBA Finals Game 1 road win since series 1217, in which the San Antonio Spurs defeated the Heat in Miami in Game 1 of the 2013 NBA Finals (the Spurs would lose that series in seven games). Series 1514 Game 1 becomes the first NBA Finals Game 1 double-digit road win since series 935, in which the Detroit Pistons defeated the Lakers in Los Angeles in Game 1 of the 2004 NBA Finals (the Pistons would win that series in five games). The Boston Celtics trailed the host Golden State Warriors by a dozen points after three quarters of series 1514 Game 1, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games beginning in 1947, road teams down twelve points after three quarters had a game record of 5-74 (.063); so it is that the Boston Celtics achieve a Grade-A (.000 - .099) comeback in series 1514 Game 1.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the Golden State Warriors finished two games ahead of the Boston Celtics. From 1947 through the 2022 NBA Semifinals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by two regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-16 (.579) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1514 is the 41st best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Golden State Warriors, and the 103rd for the Boston Celtics. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 28-12, a Finals-round series record of 4-2, and a Game 1 record of 29-11, while the Boston Celtics have an all-rounds series record of 72-30, a Finals-round series record of 17-4, and a Game 1 record of 66-36. Series 1514 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics thrice defeated the precursor entity to the Golden State Warriors known as the Philadelphia Warriors, in series 120 (in the 1958 NBA Semifinals), series 134 (in the 1960 NBA Semifinals), and series 148 (in the 1962 NBA Semifinals). The Boston Celtics once defeated the precursor entity to the Golden State Warriors known as the San Francisco Warriors, in series 164 (in the 1964 NBA Finals). In the last fifteen best-of-7 NBA playoff series featuring the Golden State Warriors, the Game 1 outcome for the Warriors presaged their series outcome (14 wins, one loss).