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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1489.
Nashville Predators vs Colorado Avalanche

Schedule and 2021-22 Results:
Regular Season Records: Colorado 56-19-7=119pts, Nashville 45-30-7=97pts
Game 1 on Tuesday, 03 May: Nashville loses at Colorado, 7-goals-2
Game 2 on Thursday, 05 May: Nashville loses at Colorado, 2-goals-1(OT)
Game 3 on Saturday, 07 May: Colorado wins at Nashville, 7-goals-3
Game 4 on Monday, 09 May: Colorado wins at Nashville, 5-goals-3

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Colorado Avalanche visited and defeated the Nashville Predators 5-goals-3 to complete a 4-games-nil best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1489 victory. With the series 1489 win, the Colorado Avalanche improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 23-15 overall and 13-5 (with an active four-series winning streak in the Preliminary round) in the Preliminary round. With the series 1489 loss, the Nashville Predators see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 7-14 (with an active four-series losing streak) overall and 5-9 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Colorado Avalanche in series 1489 was WWWW: Series 1489 thus becomes the 37th NHL Preliminary-round series, the 125th NHL series (all rounds), and the 245th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Series 1489 becomes the 125th four-game sweep in best-of-7 NHL playoff series history. In series 1489, the Nashville Predators held an in-game lead of 4 minutes 57 seconds (all in Game 4), and, while swept, stave off an annihilation.

After Game 3: The Colorado Avalanche visited and bested the Nashville Predators 7-goals-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1489 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 5-0 and a Game 4 record of 3-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 4 record of 0-0. The seven-goal Colorado Avalanche output in Nashville in series 1489 Game 3 ties the Avalanche record for most goals in a road game of a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, set in series 786 (in Game 5 of the 1999 NHL Semifinals against the Dallas Stars in a 7-goals-5 victory) and tied in series 1424 (in Game 4 of the 2020 NHL Preliminary round against the Arizona Coyotes in a 7-goals-1 victory). The Nashville Predators in series 1489, in their 21st best-of-7 NHL playoff series, trail such a series 3-games-nil for the first time.

After Game 2: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the Nashville Predators 2-goals-1(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1489 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 14-2 and a Game 3 record of 5-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 0-6 and a Game 3 record of 6-0.

After Game 1: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the Nashville Predators 7-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1489 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 17-6 and a Game 2 record of 16-7 (with an active four-Game 2 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Nashville Predators have a series record of 0-11 and a Game 2 record of 5-6. In series 1489 Game 1, the host Colorado Avalanche became the fastest home team to five goals (in 15:04) in a best-of-7 NHL playoff game since series 1430 Game 5, when the Avalanche in Colorado required only 14:27 to score their fifth goal against the Dallas Stars (in the 2020 NHL Quarterfinals). The series 1489 Game 1 loss is the fourth consecutive best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 1 loss by the Nashville Predators.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NHL regular season, the Colorado Avalanche finished 22 points ahead of the Nashville Predators. From 1939 through the 2021 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 22 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 9-1 (.900, with an active four-series winning streak) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1489 is the 38th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Colorado Avalanche, and the 21st for the Nashville Predators. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 22-15, a Preliminary-round series record of 12-5, and a Game 1 record of 23-14, while the Nashville Predators have an all-rounds series record of 7-13, a Preliminary-round series record of 5-8, and a Game 1 record of 9-11. Series 1489 is the second best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Colorado Avalanche and the Nashville Predators. In their only previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting, Nashville defeated Colorado in series 1357 (in the 2018 NHL Preliminary round).