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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NHL Finals round - Series 1499.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche

Schedule and 2021-22 Results
Regular Season Records: Colorado 56-19-7=119pts, Tampa Bay 51-23-8=110pts
Game 1 on Wednesday, 15 June: Tampa Bay loses at Colorado, 4-goals-3(OT)
Game 2 on Saturday, 18 June: Tampa Bay loses at Colorado, 7-goals-nil
Game 3 on Monday, 20 June: Colorado loses at Tampa Bay, 6-goals-2
Game 4 on Wednesday, 22 June: Colorado wins at Tampa Bay, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 5 on Friday, 24 June: Tampa Bay wins at Colorado, 3-goals-2
Game 6 on Sunday, 26 June: Colorado wins at Tampa Bay, 2-goals-1

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Colorado Avalanche visited and topped the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-goals-1 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1499 victory. With the series 1499 win, the Colorado Avalanche improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 26-15 overall and 3-0 in the Finals round. With the series 1499 loss, the Tampa Bay Lightning see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 25-11 (ending an eleven-series winning streak) overall and 3-2 in the Finals round. The win order for the victorious Colorado Avalanche in series 1499 was WWLWLW: Series 1499 thus becomes the fifth NHL Finals-round series, the 24th NHL series (all rounds), and the 52nd MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The Tampa Bay Lightning visited and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 3-goals-2 to drop the Colorado Avalanche best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1499 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 10-5 and a Game 6 record of 8-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 4-4 and a Game 6 record of 5-3.

After Game 4: The Colorado Avalanche visited and defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-goals-2(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1499 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 12-2 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 8-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 5 record of 1-2. The series 1499 Game 4 loss by the Tampa Bay Lightning ends their best-of-7 NHL playoffs Game 4 winning streak (in the wake of a 2-games-1 deficit) at six. The sole Tampa Bay best-of-7 NHL playoff series victory in the wake of a 3-games-1 deficit occurred in their last such series, in the 2011 NHL Preliminary round (series 1125) over the Pittsburgh Penguins.

After Game 3: The Tampa Bay Lightning hosted and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 6-goals-2 to reduce the Colorado Avalanche best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1499 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 14-6 and a Game 4 record of 12-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 6-5 and a Game 4 record of 8-3 (with an active six-Game 4 winning streak).

After Game 2: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and shut out the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1499 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 16-2 and a Game 3 record of 7-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 2-4 and a Game 3 record of 4-2. The 7-goals-nil home-ice shutout accomplished by the Colorado Avalanche in series 1499 Game 2 is the most one-sided shutout by a home team in best-of-7 NHL Finals history, breaking the old record of 6-goals-nil set by the Canadiens in Montreal over the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 1 of the 1947 NHL Finals (series 62) and tied twice since.

After Game 1: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-goals-3(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1499 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 20-6 and a Game 2 record of 18-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 12-8 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 14-6. With their series 1499 Game 1 victory, the Colorado Avalanche extend their Game 1 winning streak to six Game 1s.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NHL regular season, the Colorado Avalanche finished nine points ahead of the Tampa Bay Lightning. From 1939 through the 2022 NHL Semifinals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by nine regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 18-19 (.486) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1499 is the 41st best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Colorado Avalanche, and the 36th for the Tampa Bay Lightning. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 25-15, a Finals-round series record of 2-0, and a Game 1 record of 26-14 (with an active five-Game 1 winning streak), while the Tampa Bay Lightning have an all-rounds series record of 25-10 (with an active eleven-series winning streak befitting a two-time defending NHL champion), a Finals-round series record of 3-1, and a Game 1 record of 15-20. Series 1499 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Colorado Avalanche and the Tampa Bay Lightning.