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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2023 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1539.
Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings

Schedule and 2022-23 Results
Regular Season Records: Sacramento 48-34, Golden State 44-38
Game 1 on Saturday, 15 April: Golden State loses at Sacramento, 126-pts-123
Game 2 on Monday, 17 April: Golden State loses at Sacramento, 114-pts-106
Game 3 on Thursday, 20 April: Sacramento loses at Golden State, 114-pts-97
Game 4 on Sunday, 23 April: Sacramento loses at Golden State, 126-pts-125
Game 5 on Wednesday, 26 April: Golden State wins at Sacramento, 123-pts-116
Game 6 on Friday, 28 April: Sacramento wins at Golden State, 118-pts-99
Game 7 on Sunday, 30 April: Golden State wins at Sacramento, 120-pts-100

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Golden State Warriors visited and bested the Sacramento Kings 120-pts-100 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1539 victory. With the series 1539 win, the Golden State Warriors improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 30-12 (with an active five-series winning streak befitting a defending NBA champion) overall and 9-1 (with an active seven-Preliminary round series winning streak) in the Preliminary round. With the series 1539 loss, the Sacramento Kings see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 3-7 (with an active four-series losing streak) overall and 2-3 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Golden State Warriors in series 1539 was LLWWWLW: Series 1539 thus becomes the second NBA Preliminary-round series, the third NBA series (all rounds), and the 16th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 6: The Sacramento Kings visited and defeated the Golden State Warriors 118-pts-99 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1539 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Sacramento Kings have a Game 7 record of 0-3, while the Golden State Warriors have a Game 7 record of 3-4.

After Game 5: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Sacramento Kings 123-pts-116 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1539 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 11-2 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 11-2 (with an active four-Game 6 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Sacramento Kings have a series record of 0-3 and a Game 6 record of 2-1. In all 13 previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Golden State Warriors led 3-games-2, their Game 6 outcome presaged their series outcome (eleven wins, two losses).

After Game 4: The Golden State Warriors hosted and bested the Sacramento Kings 126-pts-125 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1539 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Sacramento Kings have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 5 record of 1-3, while the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 9-4 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 8-5. In best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round history, teams winning Games 1-2 at home and losing Games 3-4 on the road (i.e., Sacramento) have an active five-series winning streak.

After Game 3: The Golden State Warriors hosted and bested the Sacramento Kings 114-pts-97 to drop the Sacramento Kings best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1539 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Sacramento Kings have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 4 record of 3-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 6-8 and a Game 4 record of 8-6. In all four best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Sacramento Kings led 2-games-1 after three games, their Game 4 outcome presaged their series outcome (three wins, one loss).

After Game 2: The Sacramento Kings hosted and bested the Golden State Warriors 114-pts-106 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1539 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Sacramento Kings have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 3 record of 0-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 3 record of 2-2. With their series 1539 Game 2 loss, the Golden State Warriors have their five-Game 2 winning streak snapped in the wake of a best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 1 loss. The defending NBA champions now trail a best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the first time since series 1016, when the Warriors were down 2-games-nil to the Utah Jazz in the 2007 NBA Quarterfinals (which the Jazz won in six games).

After Game 1: The Sacramento Kings hosted and defeated the Golden State Warriors 126-pts-123 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1539 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Sacramento Kings have a series record of 3-2 and a Game 2 record of 2-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 4-8 and a Game 2 record of 8-4 (with an active five-Game 2 winning streak). Sacramento trailed series 1539 Game 1 at home by six points after two quarters, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games, home teams trailing by six points after two quarters had a 36-67 (.350) game record prior to the Kings comeback over the Golden State Warriors.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2022-23 NBA regular season, the Sacramento Kings finished four games ahead of the Golden State Warriors. From 1947 through the 2022 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 31-12 (.721) with an active seven-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1539 is the tenth best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Sacramento Kings, and the 42nd for the Golden State Warriors. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Sacramento Kings have an all-rounds series record of 3-6, a Preliminary-round series record of 2-2, and a Game 1 record of 5-4, while the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 29-12 (with an active four-series winning streak befitting a defending NBA champion), a Preliminary-round series record of 8-1 (with an active six-series winning streak in the Preliminary round), and a Game 1 record of 29-12. Series 1539 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors. In all four of their best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round playoff series, the Sacramento Kings have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (two wins, two losses).