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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2023 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1528.
Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars

Schedule and 2022-23 Results
Regular Season Records: Dallas 47-21-14=108pts, Seattle 46-28-8=100pts
Game 1 on Tuesday, 02 May: Seattle wins at Dallas, 5-goals-4(OT)
Game 2 on Thursday, 04 May: Seattle loses at Dallas, 4-goals-2
Game 3 on Sunday, 07 May: Dallas loses at Seattle, 7-goals-2
Game 4 on Tuesday, 09 May: Dallas wins at Seattle, 6-goals-3
Game 5 on Thursday, 11 May: Seattle loses at Dallas, 5-goals-2
Game 6 on Saturday, 13 May: Dallas loses at Seattle, 6-goals-3
Game 7 on Monday, 15 May: Seattle loses at Dallas, 2-goals-1

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Dallas Stars hosted and topped the Seattle Kraken 2-goals-1 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1528 victory. With the series 1528 win, the Dallas Stars improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 21-16 overall and 6-5 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1528 loss, the Seattle Kraken see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 1-1 overall and 0-1 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Dallas Stars in series 1528 was LWLWWLW: Series 1528 thus becomes the third NHL Quarterfinals-round series, the 15th NHL series (all rounds), and the 29th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The LWLWWLW win order posted by the Dallas Stars to win series 1528 was last seen in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series in series 1400, when the St. Louis Blues posted it to win the 2019 NHL Finals.

After Game 6: The Seattle Kraken hosted and outscored the Dallas Stars 6-goals-3 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1528 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a Game 7 record of 3-5, while the Seattle Kraken have a Game 7 record of 1-0. On home ice, the Dallas Stars have a 2-2 Game 7 record; on road ice, the upstart Seattle Kraken have a 1-0 Game 7 record (from series 1522, in which the Kraken defeated the Avalanche in Colorado in the 2023 NHL Preliminary round, thus ousting the defending NHL champions from the 2023 NHL playoffs). Tied LWLWWL @ HHVVHV (as the Dallas Stars now are in series 1528), the Dallas Stars have a 1-0 series record, having defeated the visiting Colorado Avalanche in Game 7 of series 811 in the 2000 NHL Semifinals.

After Game 5: The Dallas Stars hosted and topped the Seattle Kraken 5-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1528 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 13-1 and a Game 6 record of 11-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Seattle Kraken have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 6 record of 0-0.

After Game 4: The Dallas Stars visited and defeated the Seattle Kraken 6-goals-3 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1528 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 10-5 and a Game 5 record of 10-5, while the Seattle Kraken have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 5 record of 1-0.

After Game 3: The Seattle Kraken hosted and bested the Dallas Stars 7-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1528 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Seattle Kraken have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 4 record of 0-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 5-11 and a Game 4 record of 9-7.

After Game 2: The Dallas Stars hosted and defeated the Seattle Kraken 4-goals-2 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1528 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 10-8 and a Game 3 record of 6-12, while the Seattle Kraken have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 3 record of 0-1.

After Game 1: The Seattle Kraken visited and bested the Dallas Stars 5-goals-4(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1528 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Seattle Kraken have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 2 record of 0-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 6-13 and a Game 2 record of 11-8 (with an active four-Game 2 winning streak). In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series beginning in 1939, teams such as the Seattle Kraken which win Game 1 by a 5-goals-4 score on the road have a 12-5 (.706) series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2022-23 NHL regular season, the Dallas Stars finished eight points ahead of the Seattle Kraken. From 1939 through the 2023 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eight regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 21-9 (.700) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1528 is the 37th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Dallas Stars, and the second for the Seattle Kraken. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have an all-rounds series record of 20-16, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 5-5, and a Game 1 record of 17-19, while the Seattle Kraken have an all-rounds series record of 1-0, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 0-0, and a Game 1 record of 1-0. Series 1528 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Dallas Stars and the Seattle Kraken.