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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2024 MLB Finals round - Series 1583.
New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Schedule and 2024 Results
Regular Season Records: Los Angeles Dodgers 98-64, New York Yankees 94-68
Game 1 on Friday, 25 October: New York Yankees lose at Los Angeles Dodgers, 6-runs-3
Game 2 on Saturday, 26 October: New York Yankees lose at Los Angeles Dodgers, 4-runs-2
Game 3 on Monday, 28 October: Los Angeles Dodgers win at New York Yankees, 4-runs-2
Game 4 on Thursday, 29 October: Los Angeles Dodgers lose at New York Yankees, 11-runs-4
Game 5 on Wednesday, 30 October: Los Angeles Dodgers win at New York Yankees, 7-runs-6

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Los Angeles Dodgers visited and bested the New York Yankees 7-runs-6 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1583 victory. With the series 1583 win, the Los Angeles Dodgers improve their best-of-7 MLB playoff series record to 12-12 overall and 7-6 in the Finals round. With the series 1583 loss, the New York Yankees see their best-of-7 MLB playoff series record fall to 35-19 overall and 27-13 in the Finals round. The win order for the victorious Los Angeles Dodgers in series 1583 was WWWLW: Series 1583 thus becomes the fourth MLB Finals-round series, the sixth MLB series (all rounds), and the 109th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Los Angeles Dodgers trailed the Yankees in New York by five runs as late as after four full innings, but rallied for the series 1583 Game 5 victory. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series from 1905 through 2024 MLB Finals Game 4, inclusive, road teams down 5+ runs after four full innings had a game record of 2-76 (.026): The two comeback road victors were both the New York Yankees (in series 722, over the Braves in Atlanta 8-runs-6 in ten innings of 1996 MLB Finals Game 4; in series 1119, over the Rangers in Texas 6-runs-5 in the 2010 MLB Semifinals).

After Game 4: The New York Yankees hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 11-runs-4 to drop the Los Angeles Dodgers best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1583 lead to 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 4-0 and a Game 5 record of 2-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the New York Yankees have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 5 record of 3-1. Leading a best-of-7 MLB playoff series (all rounds) 3-games-1, the Los Angeles Dodgers have achieved their four series victories in series 130 over the Chicago White Sox in the 1959 MLB Finals, in series 525 over the Oakland Athletics in the 1988 MLB Finals, in series 1351 over the Chicago Cubs in the 2017 National League Championship Series, and in series 1582 over the New York Mets in the recently-concluded 2024 NLCS. Trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series (all rounds) 3-games-1, the New York Yankees achieved their sole 4-games-3 series victory in series 123 over the old Milwaukee Braves in the 1958 MLB Finals. In series 1583 Game 4, the New York Yankees achieved only the fourth Game 4 victory by a team trailing a best-of-7 MLB Finals series 3-games-nil: In all four of those Game 4s, both teams led the Game 4 at some point in the game; by contrast, in the 21 Game 4s in which the team leading the best-of-7 MLB Finals series 3-games-nil completed the sweep, only eight of the 21 Game 4s featured leads by both teams at some point in the Game 4.

After Game 3: The Los Angeles Dodgers visited and defeated the New York Yankees 4-runs-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1583 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 4 record of 1-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the New York Yankees have a series record of 0-5 and a Game 4 record of 0-5. The five series and Game 4 losses by the New York Yankees in the wake of a 3-games-nil deficit in a best-of-7 MLB playoff series occurred in series 15 to the old New York Giants in the 1922 MLB Finals, in series 158 to the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 1963 MLB Finals, in series 321 to the Cincinnati Reds in the 1976 MLB Finals, in series 1185 to the Detroit Tigers in the 2012 MLB Semifinals, and in series 1515 to the Houston Astros in the 2022 MLB Semifinals.

After Game 2: The Los Angeles Dodgers hosted and topped the New York Yankees 4-runs-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1583 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 3-2 and a Game 3 record of 2-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the New York Yankees have a series record of 4-7 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 6-5. Leading a best-of-7 MLB playoff series (all rounds) 2-games-nil, the Los Angeles Dodgers notched their first of three series victories over the New York Yankees in series 158 (the 1963 MLB Finals); the Dodgers suffered their first of two series losses to the New York Yankees in series 351 (the 1978 MLB Finals). Trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series (all rounds) 2-games-nil, the New York Yankees achieved their latest series comeback victory in series 722 (over the Atlanta Braves in the 1996 MLB Finals).

After Game 1: The Los Angeles Dodgers hosted and topped the New York Yankees 6-runs-3 (10 innings) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1583 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 5-3 and a Game 2 record of 5-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the New York Yankees have a series record of 11-10 and a Game 2 record of 10-11. Series 1583 Game 1 is only the second best-of-7 MLB playoff game to be scoreless through 4.5 innings, feature one run in the bottom of the fifth inning, and feature two runs in the top of the sixth inning: In series 1218 (the 2013 American League Championship Series) Game 6, the Detroit Tigers and the Red Sox in Boston did likewise, with Boston winning 5-runs-2 to win their 2013 MLB Semifinals series, and next win the 2013 MLB Finals. Series 1583 Game 1 becomes the third consecutive MLB Finals Game 1 to go to extra innings. Prior to series 1583 Game 1, the last best-of-7 MLB Finals game in which the road team led by one run after 9.5 innings but lost was series 116 Game 4, in which the New York Yankees led by a run after the top of the tenth inning in Milwaukee, but lost to the old Milwaukee Braves in 1957 MLB Finals Game 4. Prior to series 1583 Game 1: In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff games (all rounds), home teams trailing by a run after 9.5 innings had a 4-11 (.267) game record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2024 MLB regular season, the Los Angeles Dodgers finished four games ahead of the New York Yankees. From 1905 through the 2024 MLB Semifinals round, when MLB teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 8-5 (.615) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1583 is the 24th best-of-7 MLB playoff series for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and the 54th for the New York Yankees. In best-of-7 MLB playoff series, the Los Angeles Dodgers have an all-rounds series record of 11-12, a Finals-round series record of 6-6, and a Game 1 record of 8-15, while the New York Yankees have an all-rounds series record of 35-18, a Finals-round series record of 27-12, and a Game 1 record of 32-21. Series 1583 is the fifth best-of-7 MLB playoff series meeting between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Yankees. In their previous four best-of-7 MLB playoff series meetings, the Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the New York Yankees in the 1963 and 1981 MLB Finals, while the Yankees defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 1977 and 1978 MLB Finals. The Yankees owned a best-of-7 MLB Finals series record of 6-1 against the precursor entity to the current Los Angeles Dodgers, the old Brooklyn Dodgers. Series 1583 is the first best-of-7 MLB playoff series in which the Los Angeles Dodgers led their opponents by four regular-season games. Series 1583 is the third best-of-7 MLB playoff series in which the New York Yankees trailed their opponents by four regular-season games: In series 722, the Yankees trailed the Atlanta Braves by four regular-season games, and defeated the Braves in the 1996 World Series; in series 1416, the Yankees trailed the Houston Astros by four regular-season games, and lost to the Astros in the 2019 American League Championship Series.