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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2024 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1555.
Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars

Schedule and 2023-24 Results
Regular Season Records: Dallas 52-21-9=113pts, Vegas 45-29-8=98pts
Game 1 on Monday, 22 April: Vegas wins at Dallas, 4-goals-3
Game 2 on Wednesday, 24 April: Vegas wins at Dallas, 3-goals-1
Game 3 on Saturday, 27 April: Dallas wins at Vegas, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 4 on Monday, 29 April: Dallas wins at Vegas, 4-goals-2
Game 5 on Wednesday, 01 May: Vegas loses at Dallas, 3-goals-2
Game 6 on Friday, 03 May: Dallas loses at Vegas, 2-goals-nil
Game 7 on Sunday, 05 May: Vegas loses at Dallas, 2-goals-1

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Dallas Stars hosted and bested the Vegas Golden Knights 2-goals-1 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1555 victory. With the series 1555 win, the Dallas Stars improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 22-17 overall and 12-7 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1555 loss, the Vegas Golden Knights see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 11-5 overall and 4-2 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Dallas Stars in series 1555 was LLWWWLW: Series 1555 thus becomes the fifth NHL Preliminary-round series, the eleventh NHL series (all rounds), and the 18th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Series 1555 Game 7 evens the best-of-7 NHL playoffs Dallas Stars Game 7 record at 5-5 with the win, and evens the best-of-7 NHL playoffs Vegas Golden Knights Game 7 record at 2-2 with the loss.

After Game 6: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and shut out the Dallas Stars 2-goals-nil to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1555 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a Game 7 record of 4-5, while the Vegas Golden Knights have a Game 7 record of 2-1. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a 3-2 Game 7 record at home, while the Vegas Golden Knights have a 0-1 Game 7 record on the road.

After Game 5: The Dallas Stars hosted and defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1555 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 14-1 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 8-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 0-1 and a Game 6 record of 0-1. The sole Dallas Stars best-of-7 NHL playoff series loss in the wake of a 3-games-2 lead occurred in series 1396, to the NHL-championship-bound St. Louis Blues in the 2019 NHL Quarterfinals. Prior to series 1555, the Vegas Golden Knights had trailed a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2 only once before: In series 1464, Vegas trailed the Montreal Canadiens 3-games-2 in their 2021 NHL Semifinals series, which Montreal won in six games.

After Game 4: The Dallas Stars visited and topped the Vegas Golden Knights 4-goals-2 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1555 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 11-5 and a Game 5 record of 11-5, while the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 5 record of 3-1. The sole best-of-7 NHL playoff series loss by the Vegas Golden Knights in the wake of a 2-games-all tie was series 1464, to the Montreal Canadiens in the 2021 NHL Semifinals.

After Game 3: The Dallas Stars visited and topped the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-2(OT) to drop the Vegas Golden Knights best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1555 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 7-1 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 6-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 6-11 and a Game 4 record of 10-7. Leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights suffered their sole series loss in series 1393, to the San Jose Sharks in the 2019 NHL Preliminary round.

After Game 2: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and defeated the Dallas Stars 3-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1555 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 4-0 and a Game 3 record of 3-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 0-9 and a Game 3 record of 4-5.

After Game 1: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and defeated the Dallas Stars 4-goals-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1555 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 7-2 and a Game 2 record of 4-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 7-14 and a Game 2 record of 12-9. With their series 1555 Game 1 victory, the Vegas Golden Knights extend their best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 1 winning streak to four.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2023-24 NHL regular season, the Dallas Stars finished 15 points ahead of the Vegas Golden Knights. From 1939 through the 2023 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 15 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-8 (.733) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1555 is the 39th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Dallas Stars, and the 16th for the Vegas Golden Knights. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have an all-rounds series record of 21-17, a Preliminary-round series record of 11-7, and a Game 1 record of 17-21 (with an active four-Game 1 losing streak), while the Vegas Golden Knights have an all-rounds series record of 11-4 (with an active four-series winning streak befitting a defending NHL champion), a Preliminary-round series record of 4-1, and a Game 1 record of 9-6. Series 1555 is the third best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Dallas Stars and the Vegas Golden Knights. The Dallas Stars defeated the Vegas Golden Knights in their first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting, in series 1432 in the 2020 NHL Semifinals round, but Vegas defeated Dallas in their last best-of-7 meeting, in series 1531 in the 2023 NHL Semifinals round.