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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2024.
sport |
round |
site |
Game 2 rec. |
series rec. |
all |
all |
all |
852-731 (.538) |
1115-468 (.704) |
all |
all |
H |
670-371 (.644) |
815-226 (.783) |
all |
all |
V |
182-360 (.336) |
300-242 (.554) |
all |
Finals |
all |
147-132 (.527) |
195-84 (.699) |
all |
Finals |
H |
117-75 (.609) |
147-45 (.766) |
all |
Finals |
V |
30-57 (.345) |
48-39 (.552) |
all |
Semis |
all |
207-173 (.545) |
271-109 (.713) |
all |
Semis |
H |
154-89 (.634) |
184-59 (.757) |
all |
Semis |
V |
53-84 (.387) |
87-50 (.635) |
all |
Qtrs |
all |
247-205 (.546) |
324-128 (.717) |
all |
Qtrs |
H |
200-109 (.647) |
246-63 (.796) |
all |
Qtrs |
V |
47-96 (.329) |
78-65 (.545) |
all |
Prelim |
all |
251-221 (.532) |
325-147 (.689) |
all |
Prelim |
H |
199-98 (.670) |
238-59 (.801) |
all |
Prelim |
V |
52-123 (.297) |
87-88 (.497) |
MLB |
all |
all |
93-101 (.479) |
126-68 (.649) |
MLB |
all |
H |
63-50 (.558) |
78-35 (.690) |
MLB |
all |
V |
30-51 (.370) |
48-33 (.593) |
MLB |
Finals |
all |
55-61 (.474) |
75-41 (.647) |
MLB |
Finals |
H |
40-30 (.571) |
48-22 (.686) |
MLB |
Finals |
V |
15-31 (.326) |
27-19 (.587) |
MLB |
Semis |
all |
38-40 (.487) |
51-27 (.654) |
MLB |
Semis |
H |
23-20 (.535) |
30-13 (.698) |
MLB |
Semis |
V |
15-20 (.429) |
21-14 (.600) |
NBA |
all |
all |
351-267 (.568) |
465-153 (.752) |
NBA |
all |
H |
308-137 (.692) |
375-70 (.843) |
NBA |
all |
V |
43-130 (.249) |
90-83 (.520) |
NBA |
Finals |
all |
37-41 (.474) |
55-23 (.705) |
NBA |
Finals |
H |
34-26 (.567) |
47-13 (.783) |
NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-15 (.167) |
8-10 (.444) |
NBA |
Semis |
all |
82-54 (.603) |
107-29 (.787) |
NBA |
Semis |
H |
65-29 (.691) |
77-17 (.819) |
NBA |
Semis |
V |
17-25 (.405) |
30-12 (.714) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
124-104 (.544) |
171-57 (.750) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
110-55 (.667) |
140-25 (.848) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
14-49 (.222) |
31-32 (.492) |
NBA |
Prelim |
all |
108-68 (.614) |
132-44 (.750) |
NBA |
Prelim |
H |
99-27 (.786) |
111-15 (.881) |
NBA |
Prelim |
V |
9-41 (.180) |
21-29 (.420) |
NHL |
all |
all |
408-363 (.529) |
524-247 (.680) |
NHL |
all |
H |
299-184 (.619) |
362-121 (.749) |
NHL |
all |
V |
109-179 (.378) |
162-126 (.563) |
NHL |
Finals |
all |
55-30 (.647) |
65-20 (.765) |
NHL |
Finals |
H |
43-19 (.694) |
52-10 (.839) |
NHL |
Finals |
V |
12-11 (.522) |
13-10 (.565) |
NHL |
Semis |
all |
87-79 (.524) |
113-53 (.681) |
NHL |
Semis |
H |
66-40 (.623) |
77-29 (.726) |
NHL |
Semis |
V |
21-39 (.350) |
36-24 (.600) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
123-101 (.549) |
153-71 (.683) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
90-54 (.625) |
106-38 (.736) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
33-47 (.413) |
47-33 (.588) |
NHL |
Prelim |
all |
143-153 (.483) |
193-103 (.652) |
NHL |
Prelim |
H |
100-71 (.585) |
127-44 (.743) |
NHL |
Prelim |
V |
43-82 (.344) |
66-59 (.528) |
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