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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2024.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
578-597 (.492) |
858-317 (.730) |
| all |
all |
H |
354-377 (.484) |
582-149 (.796) |
| all |
all |
V |
224-220 (.505) |
276-168 (.622) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
107-103 (.510) |
157-53 (.748) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
68-67 (.504) |
109-26 (.807) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
39-36 (.520) |
48-27 (.640) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
138-143 (.491) |
215-66 (.765) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
79-90 (.467) |
135-34 (.799) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
59-53 (.527) |
80-32 (.714) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
156-176 (.470) |
244-88 (.735) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
98-113 (.464) |
171-40 (.810) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
58-63 (.479) |
73-48 (.603) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
177-175 (.503) |
242-110 (.688) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
109-107 (.505) |
167-49 (.773) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
68-68 (.500) |
75-61 (.551) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
86-67 (.562) |
108-45 (.706) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
48-35 (.578) |
63-20 (.759) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
38-32 (.543) |
45-25 (.643) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
45-46 (.495) |
62-29 (.681) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
23-26 (.469) |
35-14 (.714) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
22-20 (.524) |
27-15 (.643) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
41-21 (.661) |
46-16 (.742) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
25-9 (.735) |
28-6 (.824) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
16-12 (.571) |
18-10 (.643) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
226-235 (.490) |
364-97 (.790) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
142-170 (.455) |
270-42 (.865) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
84-65 (.564) |
94-55 (.631) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
32-31 (.508) |
50-13 (.794) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
23-22 (.511) |
38-7 (.844) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-9 (.500) |
12-6 (.667) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
45-55 (.450) |
78-22 (.780) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
23-42 (.354) |
53-12 (.815) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
22-13 (.629) |
25-10 (.714) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
83-94 (.469) |
140-37 (.791) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
56-69 (.448) |
109-16 (.872) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
27-25 (.519) |
31-21 (.596) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
66-55 (.545) |
96-25 (.793) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
40-37 (.519) |
70-7 (.909) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
26-18 (.591) |
26-18 (.591) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
266-295 (.474) |
386-175 (.688) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
164-172 (.488) |
249-87 (.741) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
102-123 (.453) |
137-88 (.609) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
30-26 (.536) |
45-11 (.804) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
22-19 (.537) |
36-5 (.878) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
9-6 (.600) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
52-67 (.437) |
91-28 (.765) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
31-39 (.443) |
54-16 (.771) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
21-28 (.429) |
37-12 (.755) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
73-82 (.471) |
104-51 (.671) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
42-44 (.488) |
62-24 (.721) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
31-38 (.449) |
42-27 (.609) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
111-120 (.481) |
146-85 (.632) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
69-70 (.496) |
97-42 (.698) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
42-50 (.457) |
49-43 (.533) |
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