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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .9375 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2023.
sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
all |
all |
all |
251-145 (.634) |
391-5 (.987) |
all |
all |
H |
184-115 (.615) |
295-4 (.987) |
all |
all |
V |
67-30 (.691) |
96-1 (.990) |
all |
Finals |
all |
50-16 (.758) |
65-1 (.985) |
all |
Finals |
H |
34-12 (.739) |
46-0 (1.000) |
all |
Finals |
V |
16-4 (.800) |
19-1 (.950) |
all |
Semis |
all |
57-40 (.588) |
96-1 (.990) |
all |
Semis |
H |
37-30 (.552) |
66-1 (.985) |
all |
Semis |
V |
20-10 (.667) |
30-0 (1.000) |
all |
Qtrs |
all |
73-46 (.613) |
117-2 (.983) |
all |
Qtrs |
H |
57-36 (.613) |
91-2 (.978) |
all |
Qtrs |
V |
16-10 (.615) |
26-0 (1.000) |
all |
Prelim |
all |
71-43 (.623) |
113-1 (.991) |
all |
Prelim |
H |
56-37 (.602) |
92-1 (.989) |
all |
Prelim |
V |
15-6 (.714) |
21-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
all |
all |
31-9 (.775) |
39-1 (.975) |
MLB |
all |
H |
16-7 (.696) |
22-1 (.957) |
MLB |
all |
V |
15-2 (.882) |
17-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
Finals |
all |
21-3 (.875) |
24-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
Finals |
H |
14-2 (.875) |
16-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
Finals |
V |
7-1 (.875) |
8-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
Semis |
all |
10-6 (.625) |
15-1 (.938) |
MLB |
Semis |
H |
2-5 (.286) |
6-1 (.857) |
MLB |
Semis |
V |
8-1 (.889) |
9-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
all |
all |
92-59 (.609) |
151-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
all |
H |
76-52 (.594) |
128-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
all |
V |
16-7 (.696) |
23-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Finals |
all |
9-5 (.643) |
14-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Finals |
H |
7-5 (.583) |
12-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Finals |
V |
2-0 (1.000) |
2-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Semis |
all |
19-15 (.559) |
34-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Semis |
H |
14-11 (.560) |
25-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Semis |
V |
5-4 (.556) |
9-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
30-21 (.588) |
51-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
24-18 (.571) |
42-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
6-3 (.667) |
9-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Prelim |
all |
34-18 (.654) |
52-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Prelim |
H |
31-18 (.633) |
49-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Prelim |
V |
3-0 (1.000) |
3-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
all |
all |
128-77 (.624) |
201-4 (.980) |
NHL |
all |
H |
92-56 (.622) |
145-3 (.980) |
NHL |
all |
V |
36-21 (.632) |
56-1 (.982) |
NHL |
Finals |
all |
20-8 (.714) |
27-1 (.964) |
NHL |
Finals |
H |
13-5 (.722) |
18-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Finals |
V |
7-3 (.700) |
9-1 (.900) |
NHL |
Semis |
all |
28-19 (.596) |
47-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Semis |
H |
21-14 (.600) |
35-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Semis |
V |
7-5 (.583) |
12-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
43-25 (.632) |
66-2 (.971) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
33-18 (.647) |
49-2 (.961) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
10-7 (.588) |
17-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Prelim |
all |
37-25 (.597) |
61-1 (.984) |
NHL |
Prelim |
H |
25-19 (.568) |
43-1 (.977) |
NHL |
Prelim |
V |
12-6 (.667) |
18-0 (1.000) |
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