WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .9375 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2011.

sport round site Game 4 rec. series rec.
all all all 191-106 (.643) 293-4 (.987)
all all H 144-86 (.626) 227-3 (.987)
all all V 47-20 (.701) 66-1 (.985)
all Finals all 48-12 (.800) 59-1 (.983)
all Finals H 32-9 (.780) 41-0 (1.000)
all Finals V 16-3 (.842) 18-1 (.947)
all Semis all 43-32 (.573) 74-1 (.987)
all Semis H 29-24 (.547) 52-1 (.981)
all Semis V 14-8 (.636) 22-0 (1.000)
all Qtrs all 62-40 (.608) 100-2 (.980)
all Qtrs H 51-33 (.607) 82-2 (.976)
all Qtrs V 11-7 (.611) 18-0 (1.000)
all Prelim all 38-22 (.633) 60-0 (1.000)
all Prelim H 32-20 (.615) 52-0 (1.000)
all Prelim V 6-2 (.750) 8-0 (1.000)
MLB all all 25-6 (.806) 30-1 (.968)
MLB all H 13-4 (.765) 16-1 (.941)
MLB all V 12-2 (.857) 14-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals all 20-3 (.870) 23-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals H 13-2 (.867) 15-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals V 7-1 (.875) 8-0 (1.000)
MLB Semis all 5-3 (.625) 7-1 (.875)
MLB Semis H 0-2 (.000) 1-1 (.500)
MLB Semis V 5-1 (.833) 6-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 59-40 (.596) 99-0 (1.000)
NBA all H 48-35 (.578) 83-0 (1.000)
NBA all V 11-5 (.688) 16-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals all 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals H 6-4 (.600) 10-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals V 2-0 (1.000) 2-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 14-12 (.538) 26-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis H 10-9 (.526) 19-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis V 4-3 (.571) 7-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 24-18 (.571) 42-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs H 19-16 (.543) 35-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs V 5-2 (.714) 7-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim all 13-6 (.684) 19-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim H 13-6 (.684) 19-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim V 0-0 (---) 0-0 (---)
NHL all all 107-60 (.641) 164-3 (.982)
NHL all H 83-47 (.638) 128-2 (.985)
NHL all V 24-13 (.649) 36-1 (.973)
NHL Finals all 20-5 (.800) 24-1 (.960)
NHL Finals H 13-3 (.813) 16-0 (1.000)
NHL Finals V 7-2 (.778) 8-1 (.889)
NHL Semis all 24-17 (.585) 41-0 (1.000)
NHL Semis H 19-13 (.594) 32-0 (1.000)
NHL Semis V 5-4 (.556) 9-0 (1.000)
NHL Qtrs all 38-22 (.633) 58-2 (.967)
NHL Qtrs H 32-17 (.653) 47-2 (.959)
NHL Qtrs V 6-5 (.545) 11-0 (1.000)
NHL Prelim all 25-16 (.610) 41-0 (1.000)
NHL Prelim H 19-14 (.576) 33-0 (1.000)
NHL Prelim V 6-2 (.750) 8-0 (1.000)