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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .9375 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2024.
sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
all |
all |
all |
255-153 (.625) |
403-5 (.988) |
all |
all |
H |
188-122 (.606) |
306-4 (.987) |
all |
all |
V |
67-31 (.684) |
97-1 (.990) |
all |
Finals |
all |
50-19 (.725) |
68-1 (.986) |
all |
Finals |
H |
34-15 (.694) |
49-0 (1.000) |
all |
Finals |
V |
16-4 (.800) |
19-1 (.950) |
all |
Semis |
all |
58-41 (.586) |
98-1 (.990) |
all |
Semis |
H |
38-30 (.559) |
67-1 (.985) |
all |
Semis |
V |
20-11 (.645) |
31-0 (1.000) |
all |
Qtrs |
all |
73-47 (.608) |
118-2 (.983) |
all |
Qtrs |
H |
57-37 (.606) |
92-2 (.979) |
all |
Qtrs |
V |
16-10 (.615) |
26-0 (1.000) |
all |
Prelim |
all |
74-46 (.617) |
119-1 (.992) |
all |
Prelim |
H |
59-40 (.596) |
98-1 (.990) |
all |
Prelim |
V |
15-6 (.714) |
21-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
all |
all |
31-10 (.756) |
40-1 (.976) |
MLB |
all |
H |
16-8 (.667) |
23-1 (.958) |
MLB |
all |
V |
15-2 (.882) |
17-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
Finals |
all |
21-4 (.840) |
25-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
Finals |
H |
14-3 (.824) |
17-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
Finals |
V |
7-1 (.875) |
8-0 (1.000) |
MLB |
Semis |
all |
10-6 (.625) |
15-1 (.938) |
MLB |
Semis |
H |
2-5 (.286) |
6-1 (.857) |
MLB |
Semis |
V |
8-1 (.889) |
9-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
all |
all |
95-62 (.605) |
157-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
all |
H |
79-54 (.594) |
133-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
all |
V |
16-8 (.667) |
24-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Finals |
all |
9-6 (.600) |
15-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Finals |
H |
7-6 (.538) |
13-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Finals |
V |
2-0 (1.000) |
2-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Semis |
all |
20-16 (.556) |
36-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Semis |
H |
15-11 (.577) |
26-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Semis |
V |
5-5 (.500) |
10-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
30-21 (.588) |
51-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
24-18 (.571) |
42-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
6-3 (.667) |
9-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Prelim |
all |
36-19 (.655) |
55-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Prelim |
H |
33-19 (.635) |
52-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Prelim |
V |
3-0 (1.000) |
3-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
all |
all |
129-81 (.614) |
206-4 (.981) |
NHL |
all |
H |
93-60 (.608) |
150-3 (.980) |
NHL |
all |
V |
36-21 (.632) |
56-1 (.982) |
NHL |
Finals |
all |
20-9 (.690) |
28-1 (.966) |
NHL |
Finals |
H |
13-6 (.684) |
19-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Finals |
V |
7-3 (.700) |
9-1 (.900) |
NHL |
Semis |
all |
28-19 (.596) |
47-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Semis |
H |
21-14 (.600) |
35-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Semis |
V |
7-5 (.583) |
12-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
43-26 (.623) |
67-2 (.971) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
33-19 (.635) |
50-2 (.962) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
10-7 (.588) |
17-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Prelim |
all |
38-27 (.585) |
64-1 (.985) |
NHL |
Prelim |
H |
26-21 (.553) |
46-1 (.979) |
NHL |
Prelim |
V |
12-6 (.667) |
18-0 (1.000) |
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