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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2024.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 5 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
412-319 (.564) |
672-59 (.919) |
| all |
all |
H |
311-165 (.653) |
448-28 (.941) |
| all |
all |
V |
101-154 (.396) |
224-31 (.878) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
69-57 (.548) |
118-8 (.937) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
49-34 (.590) |
78-5 (.940) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
20-23 (.465) |
40-3 (.930) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
100-79 (.559) |
166-13 (.927) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
69-40 (.633) |
104-5 (.954) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
31-39 (.443) |
62-8 (.886) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
124-79 (.611) |
191-12 (.941) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
97-38 (.719) |
129-6 (.956) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
27-41 (.397) |
62-6 (.912) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
119-104 (.534) |
197-26 (.883) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
96-53 (.644) |
137-12 (.919) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
23-51 (.311) |
60-14 (.811) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
48-48 (.500) |
82-14 (.854) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
29-27 (.518) |
49-7 (.875) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
19-21 (.475) |
33-7 (.825) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
28-21 (.571) |
43-6 (.878) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
17-9 (.654) |
22-4 (.846) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-12 (.478) |
21-2 (.913) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
20-27 (.426) |
39-8 (.830) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
12-18 (.400) |
27-3 (.900) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
8-9 (.471) |
12-5 (.706) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
173-115 (.601) |
275-13 (.955) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
146-50 (.745) |
192-4 (.980) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
27-65 (.293) |
83-9 (.902) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
20-18 (.526) |
37-1 (.974) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
16-13 (.552) |
28-1 (.966) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
4-5 (.444) |
9-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
32-29 (.525) |
57-4 (.934) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
23-11 (.676) |
33-1 (.971) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
9-18 (.333) |
24-3 (.889) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
68-36 (.654) |
99-5 (.952) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
59-15 (.797) |
72-2 (.973) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
9-21 (.300) |
27-3 (.900) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
53-32 (.624) |
82-3 (.965) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
48-11 (.814) |
59-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
5-21 (.192) |
23-3 (.885) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
191-156 (.550) |
315-32 (.908) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
136-88 (.607) |
207-17 (.924) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
55-68 (.447) |
108-15 (.878) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
21-18 (.538) |
38-1 (.974) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
16-12 (.571) |
28-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
5-6 (.455) |
10-1 (.909) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
48-23 (.676) |
70-1 (.986) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
34-11 (.756) |
44-1 (.978) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
14-12 (.538) |
26-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
56-43 (.566) |
92-7 (.929) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
38-23 (.623) |
57-4 (.934) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
18-20 (.474) |
35-3 (.921) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
66-72 (.478) |
115-23 (.833) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
48-42 (.533) |
78-12 (.867) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
18-30 (.375) |
37-11 (.771) |
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