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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2024.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 6 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
506-410 (.552) |
730-186 (.797) |
| all |
all |
H |
298-252 (.542) |
461-89 (.838) |
| all |
all |
V |
208-158 (.568) |
269-97 (.735) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
83-77 (.519) |
122-38 (.763) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
55-38 (.591) |
79-14 (.849) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
28-39 (.418) |
43-24 (.642) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
127-95 (.572) |
175-47 (.788) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
65-59 (.524) |
102-22 (.823) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
62-36 (.633) |
73-25 (.745) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
130-125 (.510) |
208-47 (.816) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
79-87 (.476) |
138-28 (.831) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
51-38 (.573) |
70-19 (.787) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
166-113 (.595) |
225-54 (.806) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
99-68 (.593) |
142-25 (.850) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
67-45 (.598) |
83-29 (.741) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
54-61 (.470) |
80-35 (.696) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
33-26 (.559) |
45-14 (.763) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
21-35 (.375) |
35-21 (.625) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
27-40 (.403) |
46-21 (.687) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
16-15 (.516) |
23-8 (.742) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-25 (.306) |
23-13 (.639) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
27-21 (.563) |
34-14 (.708) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
17-11 (.607) |
22-6 (.786) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
10-10 (.500) |
12-8 (.600) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
199-151 (.569) |
293-57 (.837) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
121-101 (.545) |
199-23 (.896) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
78-50 (.609) |
94-34 (.734) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
30-19 (.612) |
40-9 (.816) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
19-12 (.613) |
28-3 (.903) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
11-7 (.611) |
12-6 (.667) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
46-38 (.548) |
67-17 (.798) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
25-25 (.500) |
42-8 (.840) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
21-13 (.618) |
25-9 (.735) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
67-63 (.515) |
110-20 (.846) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
42-47 (.472) |
79-10 (.888) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
25-16 (.610) |
31-10 (.756) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
56-31 (.644) |
76-11 (.874) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
35-17 (.673) |
50-2 (.962) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
21-14 (.600) |
26-9 (.743) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
253-198 (.561) |
357-94 (.792) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
144-125 (.535) |
217-52 (.807) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
109-73 (.599) |
140-42 (.769) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
26-18 (.591) |
36-8 (.818) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
20-11 (.645) |
28-3 (.903) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
6-7 (.462) |
8-5 (.615) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
54-36 (.600) |
74-16 (.822) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
23-23 (.500) |
38-8 (.826) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
31-13 (.705) |
36-8 (.818) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
63-62 (.504) |
98-27 (.784) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
37-40 (.481) |
59-18 (.766) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
26-22 (.542) |
39-9 (.813) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
110-82 (.573) |
149-43 (.776) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
64-51 (.557) |
92-23 (.800) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
46-31 (.597) |
57-20 (.740) |
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